Minnesota

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Minnesota

40.0%Penn State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMinnesota -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL146.3

MODEL MONEYLINEMinnesota -150

Penn State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMinnesota 74

Projected Total146.3

Projected ScorePenn State 72

Team Comparison

MinnesotaMetricPenn State

50.5MMH Power Index42.3

109.1Offensive Efficiency109.2

107.7Defensive Efficiency117.6

1.4Net Efficiency-8.4

3.2Strength of Schedule5.3

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-20.8

63.6Tempo67.5

54.1%Effective FG%53.4%

16.5%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %25.6%

36.9%Free Throw Rate34.6%

0.9Average Margin-5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMinnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.5–42.3), defensive efficiency (107.7–117.6), net efficiency (1.4–-8.4), recent form (-6.6–-20.8).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.2–109.1), strength of schedule (5.3–3.2), ball security (15.6–16.5).

Final

Minnesota

69—61

Penn State

Minnesota by 8 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MinnesotaTEAM STATPenn State

26-49FG20-58

53.0%FG%34.0%

5-143PT6-20

36.0%3PT%30.0%

12-15FT15-20

80.0%FT%75.0%

35Rebounds30

9Offensive Rebounds14

12Assists11

13Turnovers11

9Steals8

4Blocks2

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dawson Garcia	Forward	38	7-15	0-2	5-7	14	1	0	0	19
Lu'Cye Patterson	Guard	38	6-10	0-1	2-2	7	3	2	0	14
Brennan Rigsby Jr.	G	22	5-5	2-2	2-2	3	1	0	0	14
Mike Mitchell Jr.	Guard	29	3-7	3-6	0-0	0	3	2	0	9
Parker Fox	Forward	14	2-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	2	6
Isaac Asuma	G	35	2-7	0-3	1-2	4	2	3	1	5
Femi Odukale	Guard	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	1	2
Frank Mitchell	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Trey Edmonds	Center	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Caleb Williams	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	32	6-11	2-4	4-4	6	3	1	0	18
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	36	5-13	1-3	0-0	2	5	1	0	11
Zach Hicks	Forward	34	2-6	1-5	6-8	4	1	0	1	11
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	32	3-9	1-3	3-4	7	1	4	0	10
Freddie Dilione V	G	24	2-9	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Dominick Stewart	G	13	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Miles Goodman	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Kachi Nzeh	F	17	0-2	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	1	0
Jahvin Carter	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

110.8Offensive Efficiency97.9

97.9Defensive Efficiency110.8

12.8Net Efficiency-12.8

58.2%Effective FG%39.7%

61.5%True Shooting %45.2%

21.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

30.6%Free Throw Rate34.5%

28.6%3-Point Rate34.5%

0.92Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Minnesota won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.