Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.4%Northern Illinois

96.6%Bowling Green

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBowling Green -23.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEBowling Green -2841

Bowling Green

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 64

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreBowling Green 88

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricBowling Green

29.2MMH Power Index54.7

99.7Offensive Efficiency112.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency99.1

-11.9Net Efficiency13.5

-2.1Strength of Schedule-4.7

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.7Tempo72.2

48.5%Effective FG%53.4%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate38.7%

-8.3Average Margin9.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bowling Green HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBowling Green holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.7–29.2), offensive efficiency (112.6–99.7), defensive efficiency (99.1–111.6), net efficiency (13.5–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.1–-4.7), offensive rebounding (31.7–29.2), free throw rate (39.6–38.7).

Final

Northern Illinois

77—84

Bowling Green

Bowling Green by 7 • 70.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATBowling Green

28-57FG27-60

49.0%FG%45.0%

9-283PT10-29

32.0%3PT%34.0%

12-15FT20-26

80.0%FT%77.0%

28Rebounds39

5Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists15

12Turnovers11

7Steals8

4Blocks3

20Fouls16

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	33	7-11	0-3	5-7	3	5	0	1	19
Quaran McPherson	G	34	6-11	4-8	2-2	6	1	0	0	18
James Dent Jr.	G	38	5-13	2-7	2-2	7	1	2	0	14
Ethan Butler	F	31	4-6	0-0	2-2	3	1	2	3	10
Nas Muhammad	G	28	3-7	1-3	1-2	1	2	1	0	8
Kailon Nicholls	G	26	2-5	1-3	0-0	4	4	1	0	5
Tsvet Sotirov	F	5	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Jayden Mott	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Bowling Green

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Johnson	F	33	8-17	2-8	4-4	13	4	3	0	22
Trey Thomas	Guard	36	4-13	4-9	5-6	6	5	1	0	17
Derrick Butler	Guard	29	5-10	1-4	4-5	3	0	0	0	15
DaJion Humphrey	G	24	4-7	3-5	0-1	0	2	0	0	11
Javontae Campbell	G	29	2-5	0-1	6-8	6	4	4	2	10
Wilguens Jr. Exacte	F	18	3-5	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Braelon Green	G	16	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Jamai Felt	F	15	0-2	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

70.8Possessions70.8

108.8Offensive Efficiency118.6

118.6Defensive Efficiency108.8

-9.9Net Efficiency9.9

57.0%Effective FG%53.3%

60.0%True Shooting %58.1%

16.9%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.3%Free Throw Rate43.3%

49.1%3-Point Rate48.3%

1.17Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Bowling Green won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 70.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.