Buffalo

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

17.9%Buffalo

82.1%Toledo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -10.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.3

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -459

Toledo

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBuffalo 75

Projected Total159.3

Projected ScoreToledo 85

Team Comparison

BuffaloMetricToledo

49.7MMH Power Index58.8

114.9Offensive Efficiency116.0

112.2Defensive Efficiency109.6

2.7Net Efficiency6.4

0.0Strength of Schedule2.3

-5.9Last 10 Net Efficiency10.2

67.9Tempo69.8

56.1%Effective FG%55.1%

16.1%Turnover Rate14.6%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

40.4%Free Throw Rate30.3%

1.8Average Margin4.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–49.7), offensive efficiency (116.0–114.9), defensive efficiency (109.6–112.2), net efficiency (6.4–2.7).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (56.1–55.1), free throw rate (40.4–30.3).

Final

Buffalo

74—87

Toledo

Toledo by 13 • 71.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BuffaloTEAM STATToledo

26-57FG29-64

46.0%FG%45.0%

7-263PT8-19

27.0%3PT%42.0%

15-21FT21-28

71.0%FT%75.0%

32Rebounds41

8Offensive Rebounds15

10Assists19

12Turnovers9

5Steals7

—Blocks1

22Fouls16

Player Box Score

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Tyson Dunn	G	36	8-18	3-9	0-0	5	6	1	19
Tim Oboh	C	21	5-6	0-0	6-9	7	0	0	16
Noah Batchelor	G	31	5-9	3-7	0-0	2	1	1	13
Bryson Wilson	G	23	3-7	0-2	6-8	4	0	0	12
Ryan Sabol	G	37	2-10	0-7	1-2	8	2	2	5
Omar Migues-Hibeljic	G	10	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	3
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	2
Ben Michaels	F	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	2
Kavon Bradford	G	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Lloyd McVeigh	Guard	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sam Lewis	G	28	5-10	4-7	5-6	5	2	0	0	19
Sonny Wilson	G	32	7-14	2-3	2-5	5	5	1	0	18
Javan Simmons	F	27	5-9	0-0	8-10	10	6	0	0	18
Bryce Ford	G	29	3-8	1-3	5-5	4	0	2	0	12
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	9	3-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	7
Isaiah Adams	Guard	34	2-6	0-2	1-2	3	5	4	1	5
Seth Hubbard	G	23	2-8	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Grgur Brcic	C	12	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Andre Lorentsson	Forward	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.2Possessions71.2

103.9Offensive Efficiency122.2

122.2Defensive Efficiency103.9

-18.3Net Efficiency18.3

51.8%Effective FG%51.6%

55.2%True Shooting %56.3%

16.9%Turnover Rate12.6%

36.8%Free Throw Rate43.8%

45.6%3-Point Rate29.7%

0.83Assist / Turnover2.11

Game Summary

Toledo won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 71.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.