USC

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.4%USC

78.6%Northwestern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthwestern -8.0

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -367

Northwestern

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUSC 73

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 81

Team Comparison

USCMetricNorthwestern

48.3MMH Power Index55.4

108.5Offensive Efficiency111.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency109.8

0.9Net Efficiency1.8

2.5Strength of Schedule5.6

-16.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.7

72.4Tempo65.6

50.7%Effective FG%51.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate13.0%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

45.3%Free Throw Rate34.8%

0.7Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–48.3), offensive efficiency (111.6–108.5), net efficiency (1.8–0.9), strength of schedule (5.6–2.5).

USC COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.6–109.8), offensive rebounding (33.2–28.2), free throw rate (45.3–34.8).

Final

USC

75—77

Northwestern

Northwestern by 2 • 62.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

USCTEAM STATNorthwestern

26-51FG27-66

51.0%FG%41.0%

9-183PT6-19

50.0%3PT%32.0%

14-21FT17-23

67.0%FT%74.0%

27Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds23

15Assists14

9Turnovers7

2Steals3

4Blocks2

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Clark Slajchert	Guard	30	9-11	4-4	2-4	2	2	0	0	24
Wesley Yates III	G	30	3-8	2-4	7-8	2	2	1	0	15
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	31	5-9	1-3	3-5	3	0	0	0	14
Matt Knowling	Forward	32	3-5	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	0	7
Rashaun Agee	F	23	2-7	2-4	1-2	4	2	0	1	7
Saint Thomas	Forward	40	2-7	0-2	0-0	8	8	0	0	4
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	11	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	3	4
Josh Cohen	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	40	11-25	0-2	5-7	13	2	0	0	27
Justin Mullins	G	37	5-6	4-5	0-1	7	1	0	0	14
Ty Berry	Guard	32	3-13	2-8	1-1	6	3	1	0	9
Matthew Nicholson	Center	27	4-7	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	2	9
Keenan Fitzmorris	Center	9	2-3	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	0	8
Jalen Leach	Not Available	32	2-10	0-2	2-2	3	6	1	0	6
Blake Smith	G	13	0-0	0-0	4-6	0	1	0	0	4
K.J. Windham	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Angelo Ciaravino	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.0Possessions62.0

121.0Offensive Efficiency124.2

124.2Defensive Efficiency121.0

-3.2Net Efficiency3.2

59.8%Effective FG%45.5%

61.5%True Shooting %50.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate11.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate34.8%

35.3%3-Point Rate28.8%

1.67Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 62.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.