Kansas State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.0%Kansas State

72.0%Arizona State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArizona State -6.3

PROJECTED TOTAL162.0

MODEL MONEYLINEArizona State -257

Arizona State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreKansas State 78

Projected Total162.0

Projected ScoreArizona State 84

Team Comparison

Kansas StateMetricArizona State

47.1MMH Power Index51

107.8Offensive Efficiency108.1

110.9Defensive Efficiency110.9

-3.1Net Efficiency-2.8

5.5Strength of Schedule7.0

-14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.5

73.8Tempo70.6

53.5%Effective FG%51.3%

17.4%Turnover Rate17.1%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

27.4%Free Throw Rate40.2%

-2.3Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arizona State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArizona State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–47.1), offensive efficiency (108.1–107.8), net efficiency (-2.8–-3.1), strength of schedule (7.0–5.5).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.5–51.3).

Final

Kansas State

71—70

Arizona State

Kansas State by 1 • 64.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Kansas StateTEAM STATArizona State

27-58FG22-57

47.0%FG%39.0%

10-263PT12-37

38.0%3PT%32.0%

7-10FT14-21

70.0%FT%67.0%

38Rebounds34

8Offensive Rebounds10

20Assists14

11Turnovers7

5Steals3

1Blocks4

15Fouls12

Player Box Score

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David N'Guessan	Guard	36	8-11	1-1	5-6	8	0	0	0	22
Max Jones	Guard	34	6-12	3-7	0-0	5	3	2	0	15
Brendan Hausen	G	30	4-8	4-8	0-0	4	1	0	0	12
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	36	4-11	2-5	1-2	6	7	1	0	11
Dug McDaniel	G	37	3-10	0-4	1-2	8	9	1	0	7
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	4
C.J. Jones	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
David Castillo	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arizona State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alston Mason	Guard	37	6-10	2-5	6-6	4	6	0	0	20
Basheer Jihad	Forward	34	3-8	3-7	6-7	5	2	1	1	15
BJ Freeman	Guard	37	5-10	3-8	1-2	7	5	0	1	14
Adam Miller	G	28	4-6	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Joson Sanon	G	23	2-11	1-5	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Jayden Quaintance	F	33	1-7	0-3	1-6	10	0	1	2	3
Amier Ali	G	8	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	0	3

Advanced Game Stats

64.9Possessions64.9

109.4Offensive Efficiency107.9

107.9Defensive Efficiency109.4

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

55.2%Effective FG%49.1%

56.6%True Shooting %52.3%

16.7%Turnover Rate10.9%

17.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

44.8%3-Point Rate64.9%

1.82Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Kansas State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.