San José State

9-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.4%San José State

74.6%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -9.1

PROJECTED TOTAL149.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -294

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan José State 70

Projected Total149.7

Projected ScoreFresno State 79

Team Comparison

San José StateMetricFresno State

42MMH Power Index47.1

108.7Offensive Efficiency104.9

118.5Defensive Efficiency104.9

-9.8Net Efficiency0.0

1.8Strength of Schedule1.5

-8.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

66.2Tempo69.4

50.8%Effective FG%51.3%

15.2%Turnover Rate18.2%

30.7%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

34.2%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-6.5Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–42.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–118.5), net efficiency (0.0–-9.8), recent form (-6.0–-8.6).

San José State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.7–104.9), strength of schedule (1.8–1.5), ball security (15.2–18.2).

Final

San José State

94—91

Fresno State

San José State by 3 • 91.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San José StateTEAM STATFresno State

34-73FG33-79

47.0%FG%42.0%

14-363PT5-15

39.0%3PT%33.0%

12-13FT20-25

92.0%FT%80.0%

36Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds11

18Assists13

16Turnovers15

8Steals11

5Blocks5

21Fouls14

Player Box Score

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Latrell Davis	G	48	11-18	6-11	2-2	6	4	4	0	30
Josh Uduje	Guard	42	10-21	3-9	7-8	11	4	2	2	30
Donavan Yap	Guard	40	5-12	2-7	1-1	4	4	0	0	13
Will McClendon	G	45	3-12	2-6	2-2	4	4	0	0	10
Chol Marial	Center	31	2-2	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	3	4
Robert Vaihola	F	19	2-4	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	0	4
Steven Vasquez	Guard	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jermaine Washington	G	20	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Weaver	Guard	47	8-16	1-2	6-8	6	5	0	1	23
Zaon Collins	G	46	8-20	1-3	5-6	8	6	3	0	22
Brian Amuneke	G	41	7-11	3-5	2-2	7	0	4	0	19
Elijah Price	F	41	5-11	0-2	7-8	7	0	3	2	17
Alex Crawford	F	46	3-16	0-2	0-1	6	1	1	1	6
Mor Seck	C	13	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Jasir Tremble	Guard	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

91.6Possessions91.6

102.6Offensive Efficiency99.3

99.3Defensive Efficiency102.6

3.3Net Efficiency-3.3

56.2%Effective FG%44.9%

59.4%True Shooting %50.1%

18.1%Turnover Rate15.8%

17.8%Free Throw Rate31.6%

49.3%3-Point Rate19.0%

1.13Assist / Turnover0.87

Game Summary

San José State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 91.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.