Boise State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Boise State

44.1%UNLV

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL157.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -127

UNLV

18-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBoise State 79

Projected Total157.7

Projected ScoreUNLV 78

Team Comparison

Boise StateMetricUNLV

59.5MMH Power Index52.8

113.9Offensive Efficiency111.0

107.1Defensive Efficiency109.6

6.8Net Efficiency1.4

4.2Strength of Schedule2.7

5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.1

68.6Tempo71.4

52.7%Effective FG%53.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

33.8%Offensive Rebound %30.8%

42.7%Free Throw Rate41.6%

4.7Average Margin1.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–52.8), offensive efficiency (113.9–111.0), defensive efficiency (107.1–109.6), net efficiency (6.8–1.4).

UNLV COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.7–52.7).

Final

Boise State

71—62

UNLV

Boise State by 9 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Boise StateTEAM STATUNLV

20-49FG25-66

41.0%FG%38.0%

7-253PT1-16

28.0%3PT%6.0%

24-32FT11-17

75.0%FT%65.0%

45Rebounds34

11Offensive Rebounds10

15Assists9

14Turnovers5

2Steals8

7Blocks3

15Fouls22

Player Box Score

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	34	4-10	2-3	6-9	7	4	0	3	16
Andrew Meadow	F	33	3-7	0-3	8-8	4	0	1	1	14
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	39	5-13	2-8	1-2	8	6	0	0	13
Javan Buchanan	F	29	4-8	0-2	5-7	8	0	1	3	13
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	9	1-2	1-1	4-6	3	1	0	0	7
Pearson Carmichael	F	9	2-4	2-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
RJ Keene II	G	28	0-1	0-1	0-0	10	2	0	0	0
Julian Bowie	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

UNLV

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dedan Thomas Jr.	G	38	7-18	0-1	6-9	1	3	0	0	20
Jeremiah Cherry	F	30	9-11	0-0	1-4	3	0	0	2	19
Jailen Bedford	G	29	5-12	1-4	0-0	6	0	1	0	11
Jalen Hill	Forward	33	2-7	0-2	2-2	3	1	3	0	6
Brooklyn Hicks	G	18	2-5	0-1	0-0	4	1	1	0	4
Julian Rishwain	Guard	23	0-6	0-4	2-2	9	4	1	1	2
Jaden Henley	G	20	0-7	0-4	0-0	3	0	2	0	0
Pape N'Diaye	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jacob Bannarbie	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

104.1Offensive Efficiency90.9

90.9Defensive Efficiency104.1

13.2Net Efficiency-13.2

48.0%Effective FG%38.6%

55.3%True Shooting %41.8%

20.8%Turnover Rate7.2%

65.3%Free Throw Rate25.8%

51.0%3-Point Rate24.2%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

Boise State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.