Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%Southern Miss

72.9%App State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -269

App State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 68

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreApp State 76

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricApp State

49.9MMH Power Index54.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency110.9

104.9Defensive Efficiency101.7

1.2Net Efficiency9.2

-0.2Strength of Schedule-4.2

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

70.4Tempo64.9

49.9%Effective FG%51.1%

18.4%Turnover Rate15.2%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %34.2%

43.9%Free Throw Rate39.8%

0.9Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–49.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–106.1), defensive efficiency (101.7–104.9), net efficiency (9.2–1.2).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.2–-4.2), free throw rate (43.9–39.8).

Final

Southern Miss

58—60

App State

App State by 2 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATApp State

23-63FG23-52

37.0%FG%44.0%

2-173PT5-22

12.0%3PT%23.0%

10-14FT9-19

71.0%FT%47.0%

39Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists13

5Turnovers12

8Steals5

4Blocks4

13Fouls12

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andre Curbelo	Guard	32	8-14	0-2	0-0	3	7	0	0	16
Denijay Harris	Forward	35	4-13	0-3	7-9	12	0	2	2	15
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	33	4-10	0-0	2-2	5	1	1	1	10
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	15	3-7	1-3	1-1	3	0	0	0	8
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	28	3-9	0-2	0-0	2	3	2	1	6
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	21	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Christian Watson	G	20	0-5	0-3	0-0	6	0	1	0	0
John Wade III	Guard	11	0-2	0-1	0-2	0	1	1	0	0
Christian Reid	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Huntley	Forward	37	8-10	2-4	2-3	12	1	2	0	20
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	26	5-8	0-0	2-2	8	1	1	1	12
Dior Conners	G	37	2-10	2-10	2-2	1	0	1	0	8
Myles Tate	Guard	37	3-13	0-5	2-5	7	11	0	0	8
Luke Wilson	C	12	3-3	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	3	6
Alonzo Dodd	G	27	1-6	0-2	1-5	2	0	1	0	3
Jackson Threadgill	Guard	16	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jamil Muttilib	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

87.3Offensive Efficiency90.4

90.4Defensive Efficiency87.3

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

38.1%Effective FG%49.0%

41.6%True Shooting %49.2%

7.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

22.2%Free Throw Rate36.5%

27.0%3-Point Rate42.3%

2.40Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

App State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.