Cincinnati

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Cincinnati

50.5%UCF

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCF -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUCF -102

UCF

21-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCincinnati 75

Projected Total151.6

Projected ScoreUCF 76

Team Comparison

CincinnatiMetricUCF

61.5MMH Power Index57.1

105.3Offensive Efficiency113.3

97.3Defensive Efficiency110.0

8.0Net Efficiency3.3

5.1Strength of Schedule6.6

14.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.8

69.4Tempo71.2

50.6%Effective FG%53.0%

17.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

30.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

30.7%Free Throw Rate31.1%

5.5Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCF HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCF holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (113.3–105.3), strength of schedule (6.6–5.1), shooting efficiency (53.0–50.6), ball security (16.0–17.0).

Cincinnati COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (61.5–57.1), defensive efficiency (97.3–110.0), net efficiency (8.0–3.3).

Final

Cincinnati

93—83

UCF

Cincinnati by 10 • 75.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CincinnatiTEAM STATUCF

38-65FG32-67

58.0%FG%48.0%

5-163PT5-22

31.0%3PT%23.0%

12-19FT14-18

63.0%FT%78.0%

27Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds17

18Assists13

10Turnovers16

9Steals3

4Blocks4

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cincinnati

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Day Day Thomas	G	34	9-15	1-2	1-2	3	6	1	1	20
Dillon Mitchell	F	31	9-14	0-1	1-2	6	3	1	1	19
Aziz Bandaogo	Forward	32	7-8	0-0	2-4	6	2	2	1	16
Jizzle James	G	18	5-7	0-1	5-7	3	4	2	0	15
Dan Skillings Jr.	G	17	3-5	1-1	1-1	3	1	0	0	8
Tyler Betsey	F	12	3-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Simas Lukosius	Guard	29	2-7	1-6	2-3	1	2	2	0	7
CJ Fredrick Jr.	Guard	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Josh Reed	F	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Rayvon Griffith	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Arrinten Page	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	37	8-18	1-3	6-8	7	3	0	1	23
Darius Johnson	Guard	37	8-15	2-6	3-4	5	6	0	0	21
Moustapha Thiam	C	32	6-13	0-3	2-2	8	2	1	1	14
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	30	4-7	2-4	1-2	3	0	0	0	11
Benny Williams	Forward	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	6
Dior Johnson	G	11	2-5	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	6
Dallan Coleman	Guard	26	1-2	0-1	0-0	6	1	2	0	2
JJ Taylor	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Rokas Jocius	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Mikey Williams	G	4	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nils Machowski	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.8Possessions75.8

122.7Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency122.7

13.2Net Efficiency-13.2

62.3%Effective FG%51.5%

62.8%True Shooting %54.9%

13.0%Turnover Rate21.5%

29.2%Free Throw Rate26.9%

24.6%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.80Assist / Turnover0.81

Game Summary

Cincinnati won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 75.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.