Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.6%Valparaiso

47.4%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIndiana State -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL146.7

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -111

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 73

Projected Total146.7

Projected ScoreIndiana State 74

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricIndiana State

49.9MMH Power Index44.4

106.6Offensive Efficiency104.7

105.8Defensive Efficiency106.0

0.8Net Efficiency-1.3

0.3Strength of Schedule0.1

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.5Tempo70.3

48.7%Effective FG%53.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate19.5%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

40.0%Free Throw Rate28.8%

0.5Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–44.4), offensive efficiency (106.6–104.7), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.0), net efficiency (0.8–-1.3).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (53.6–48.7).

Final

Valparaiso

62—80

Indiana State

Indiana State by 18 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATIndiana State

19-54FG28-61

35.0%FG%46.0%

5-223PT15-35

23.0%3PT%43.0%

19-24FT9-10

79.0%FT%90.0%

33Rebounds39

7Offensive Rebounds8

12Assists22

8Turnovers11

7Steals3

5Blocks2

11Fouls17

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
All Wright	G	38	9-23	3-10	11-13	4	1	1	0	32
Cooper Schwieger	F	37	6-10	0-0	5-7	12	1	0	2	17
Carson Schwieger	F	13	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Kaspar Sepp	F	16	1-4	1-3	0-0	4	5	2	0	3
Tyler Schmidt	G	20	1-3	0-0	0-0	0	4	0	0	2
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	18	0-3	0-1	2-2	3	0	1	1	2
Isaiah Shaw	G	12	0-2	0-2	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	29	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	2	1	0
Justus McNair	G	17	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Camp Wagner	G	33	7-14	6-13	2-2	5	1	1	0	22
Samage Teel	Guard	35	5-16	2-6	5-5	4	9	0	0	17
Aaron Gray	Forward	28	6-8	1-3	0-0	7	2	0	1	13
K'mani Doughty	Guard	32	4-8	4-7	0-0	9	4	1	0	12
Bruno Alocen	G	15	2-4	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Jaden Daughtry	F	14	2-4	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	5
Jayan Walker	G	12	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	1	0	3
Markus Harding	C	26	1-4	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	1	2
Josiah LeGree	G	5	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Merritt Alderink	F	0	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

91.7Offensive Efficiency118.3

118.3Defensive Efficiency91.7

-26.6Net Efficiency26.6

39.8%Effective FG%58.2%

47.4%True Shooting %60.8%

12.0%Turnover Rate16.0%

44.4%Free Throw Rate16.4%

40.7%3-Point Rate57.4%

1.50Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.