Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%Northern Iowa

35.6%Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Iowa -3.2

PROJECTED TOTAL139.3

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -181

Missouri State

16-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 71

Projected Total139.3

Projected ScoreMissouri State 68

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricMissouri State

61MMH Power Index51.1

108.4Offensive Efficiency110.5

96.4Defensive Efficiency108.4

12.0Net Efficiency2.1

2.2Strength of Schedule0.5

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.1

64.1Tempo67.9

54.6%Effective FG%51.8%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.4%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

26.2%Free Throw Rate42.9%

7.7Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–51.1), defensive efficiency (96.4–108.4), net efficiency (12.0–2.1), strength of schedule (2.2–0.5).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–108.4), offensive rebounding (33.0–21.9), free throw rate (42.9–26.2).

Final

Northern Iowa

66—61

Missouri State

Northern Iowa by 5 • 66.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATMissouri State

21-51FG23-51

41.0%FG%45.0%

5-203PT4-16

25.0%3PT%25.0%

19-26FT11-17

73.0%FT%65.0%

33Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds5

9Assists13

13Turnovers13

6Steals8

2Blocks3

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Campbell	G	34	7-14	4-9	2-2	3	3	2	0	20
Jacob Hutson	Center	26	7-11	0-0	6-8	6	0	1	0	20
Ben Schwieger	F	33	3-9	1-3	5-6	6	1	1	2	12
Cael Schmitt	Guard	27	2-7	0-3	1-3	2	2	0	0	5
Will Hornseth	F	13	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	0	4
Tytan Anderson	Guard	26	0-4	0-2	3-5	7	1	1	0	3
Max Weisbrod	G	29	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Kyle Pock	F	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Redek Born	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Vincent Brady II	G	37	4-10	2-4	3-4	4	5	0	0	13
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	21	6-8	0-0	1-3	3	2	2	1	13
Dez White	G	38	5-13	1-6	1-2	2	3	1	0	12
Jalen Hampton	G	23	5-7	0-1	1-2	8	1	4	0	11
Chase Martin	Guard	22	1-3	0-1	3-4	5	0	0	0	5
Zaxton King	G	26	1-4	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Logan Epes	G	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Wesley Oba	Forward	19	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	2	0
Allen Udemadu	F	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Mozae Downing-Rivers	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.8Possessions66.8

98.8Offensive Efficiency91.3

91.3Defensive Efficiency98.8

7.5Net Efficiency-7.5

46.1%Effective FG%49.0%

52.1%True Shooting %51.6%

19.6%Turnover Rate19.4%

51.0%Free Throw Rate33.3%

39.2%3-Point Rate31.4%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Northern Iowa won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 66.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.