American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.8%American University

29.2%Bucknell

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -242

Bucknell

10-23

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 76

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreBucknell 70

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricBucknell

48.2MMH Power Index35.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency99.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency112.8

4.8Net Efficiency-13.3

-4.3Strength of Schedule2.0

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.5

67.5Tempo67.7

52.6%Effective FG%48.4%

15.7%Turnover Rate19.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

30.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

3.3Average Margin-8.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–35.7), offensive efficiency (110.6–99.5), defensive efficiency (105.8–112.8), net efficiency (4.8–-13.3).

Bucknell COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.0–-4.3), free throw rate (30.7–30.1).

Final

American University

49—71

Bucknell

Bucknell by 22 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATBucknell

16-46FG27-45

35.0%FG%60.0%

5-213PT6-13

24.0%3PT%46.0%

12-17FT11-16

71.0%FT%69.0%

21Rebounds27

4Offensive Rebounds3

8Assists15

12Turnovers13

5Steals5

2Blocks4

17Fouls12

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Mayock	F	30	3-9	2-4	2-2	2	2	0	0	10
Matt Rogers	Forward	21	3-7	1-4	2-4	2	1	1	0	9
Julen Iturbe	F	12	3-6	2-4	1-2	2	0	0	0	9
Eric Michaels	F	21	4-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2	8
Colin Smalls	Guard	22	1-4	0-3	4-5	1	0	0	0	6
Lincoln Ball	Guard	31	1-6	0-1	1-2	4	2	2	0	3
Wyatt Nausadis	G	27	1-7	0-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Adrian Samuels	G	21	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	2
Mason Whittaker	Forward	15	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Bucknell

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noah Williamson	C	27	5-8	1-2	7-9	12	1	2	1	18
Josh Bascoe	Guard	32	6-7	2-2	0-0	1	7	0	0	14
Achile Spadone	G	26	4-6	1-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	11
Elvin Edmonds IV	Guard	22	3-7	1-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	9
Brandon McCreesh	G	22	3-4	1-2	0-1	2	2	0	0	7
Ruot Bijiek	F	22	3-5	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	2	6
Josh Fulton	G	15	2-2	0-0	0-2	4	0	2	0	4
Pip Ajayi	Forward	13	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Jayden Williams	G	19	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	0
Kellen Welch	F	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

78.5Offensive Efficiency113.8

113.8Defensive Efficiency78.5

-35.3Net Efficiency35.3

40.2%Effective FG%66.7%

45.3%True Shooting %67.5%

19.3%Turnover Rate20.8%

37.0%Free Throw Rate35.6%

45.7%3-Point Rate28.9%

0.67Assist / Turnover1.15

Game Summary

Bucknell won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.