Texas State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

43.4%Texas State

56.6%Old Dominion

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOld Dominion -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEOld Dominion -130

Old Dominion

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas State 75

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 76

Team Comparison

Texas StateMetricOld Dominion

49.4MMH Power Index47.2

107.7Offensive Efficiency107.4

103.4Defensive Efficiency109.8

4.3Net Efficiency-2.4

-4.7Strength of Schedule-0.1

9.1Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

68.6Tempo70.9

51.3%Effective FG%50.9%

18.4%Turnover Rate15.4%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %26.1%

36.0%Free Throw Rate35.2%

2.9Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–47.2), offensive efficiency (107.7–107.4), defensive efficiency (103.4–109.8), net efficiency (4.3–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-4.7), ball security (15.4–18.4).

Final

Texas State

64—75

Old Dominion

Old Dominion by 11 • 60.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas StateTEAM STATOld Dominion

27-55FG25-65

49.0%FG%38.0%

5-173PT6-21

29.0%3PT%29.0%

5-9FT19-23

56.0%FT%83.0%

27Rebounds45

8Offensive Rebounds23

16Assists12

10Turnovers7

5Steals6

2Blocks4

15Fouls9

Player Box Score

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylan Pope	Forward	29	10-13	0-0	3-4	5	0	0	1	23
Joshua O'Garro	G	32	6-9	2-2	1-2	10	2	1	0	15
Kaden Gumbs	G	36	6-8	0-0	1-1	6	5	1	0	13
Dylan Dawson	Guard	29	3-10	2-8	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Coleton Benson	G	20	1-6	1-6	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Nate Deer	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Christian Turner	Forward	21	0-4	0-0	0-2	1	4	0	1	0
Drue Drinnon	Guard	20	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	3	1	0	0
Bessanty Saragba	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jaylen Jones	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sean Durugordon	Guard	37	5-15	0-0	10-13	13	2	1	1	20
Robert Davis Jr.	G	38	6-17	4-14	2-2	1	1	2	0	18
Jaden Johnson	G	36	3-10	1-3	7-8	5	3	0	0	14
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	30	5-8	0-0	0-0	9	1	0	1	10
R.J. Blakney	Forward	35	4-10	1-4	0-0	7	2	3	2	9
Caden Diggs	F	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Donovan Raymond	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Scottie Hubbard	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

60.6Possessions60.6

105.6Offensive Efficiency123.8

123.8Defensive Efficiency105.6

-18.2Net Efficiency18.2

53.6%Effective FG%43.1%

54.0%True Shooting %49.4%

16.3%Turnover Rate11.7%

16.4%Free Throw Rate35.4%

30.9%3-Point Rate32.3%

1.60Assist / Turnover1.71

Game Summary

Old Dominion won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 60.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.