Cleveland State

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Cleveland State

91.4%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -17.0

PROJECTED TOTAL168.4

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -1063

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCleveland State 76

Projected Total168.4

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 93

Team Comparison

Cleveland StateMetricNorthern Kentucky

37.3MMH Power Index53.9

111.6Offensive Efficiency114.9

120.2Defensive Efficiency107.1

-8.6Net Efficiency7.8

-1.7Strength of Schedule-2.9

-14.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

71.5Tempo72.3

55.0%Effective FG%54.5%

18.0%Turnover Rate16.3%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

38.7%Free Throw Rate37.1%

-6.2Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Kentucky HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Kentucky holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.9–37.3), offensive efficiency (114.9–111.6), defensive efficiency (107.1–120.2), net efficiency (7.8–-8.6).

Cleveland State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.9), shooting efficiency (55.0–54.5), free throw rate (38.7–37.1).

Final

Cleveland State

75—85

Northern Kentucky

Northern Kentucky by 10 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cleveland StateTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

27-59FG31-61

46.0%FG%51.0%

10-243PT9-23

42.0%3PT%39.0%

11-15FT14-20

73.0%FT%70.0%

29Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds12

16Assists14

12Turnovers8

5Steals9

2Blocks2

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Cleveland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tevin Smith	Guard	33	5-10	3-6	5-7	6	4	1	0	18
Dylan Arnett	F	31	7-11	0-0	3-4	3	4	1	1	17
Je'Shawn Stevenson	G	16	3-7	2-5	3-4	4	2	1	0	11
Tahj Staveskie	G	30	4-8	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	10
Reece Robinson	F	17	3-7	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	1	7
Chase Robinson	Guard	23	2-9	2-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	6
Ebrima Dibba	Guard	34	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	6	0	0	2
KJ Debrick	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	2
Cole Franklin	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dan Gherezgher	G	37	10-14	5-7	1-3	1	1	1	0	26
Josh Dilling	Guard	31	4-10	3-9	3-3	3	2	1	0	14
Sam Vinson	Guard	34	3-6	1-2	6-8	7	7	4	1	13
LJ Wells	F	26	6-9	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	0	13
Trey Robinson	Guard	31	5-11	0-0	2-2	8	1	1	1	12
Keeyan Itejere	F	22	2-3	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	0	5
Randall Pettus II	G	19	1-8	0-5	0-0	4	1	2	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

111.4Offensive Efficiency126.3

126.3Defensive Efficiency111.4

-14.9Net Efficiency14.9

54.2%Effective FG%58.2%

56.7%True Shooting %60.3%

17.6%Turnover Rate12.0%

25.4%Free Throw Rate32.8%

40.7%3-Point Rate37.7%

1.33Assist / Turnover1.75

Game Summary

Northern Kentucky won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.