Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.5%Mercer

62.5%Samford

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSamford -2.7

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINESamford -167

Samford

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 78

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreSamford 81

Team Comparison

MercerMetricSamford

54.1MMH Power Index54.1

116.6Offensive Efficiency113.5

106.5Defensive Efficiency108.3

10.1Net Efficiency5.2

-4.4Strength of Schedule-2.9

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency14.0

70.9Tempo69.5

53.8%Effective FG%54.0%

14.7%Turnover Rate13.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

38.9%Free Throw Rate42.5%

7.2Average Margin3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY62.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

Mercer

79—100

Samford

Samford by 21 • 78.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATSamford

29-65FG36-83

45.0%FG%43.0%

9-243PT22-50

38.0%3PT%44.0%

12-25FT6-9

48.0%FT%67.0%

46Rebounds45

18Offensive Rebounds20

12Assists26

20Turnovers11

7Steals14

4Blocks6

11Fouls20

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Johnson	Guard	31	8-12	5-7	5-5	4	2	1	0	26
Brady Shoulders	G	30	5-11	2-6	1-3	6	3	1	0	13
Marcus Overstreet	F	17	5-11	0-0	1-5	14	0	2	1	11
Angel Montas Jr.	G	20	4-10	1-3	1-3	4	2	0	0	10
Alex Holt	Forward	23	4-6	0-0	1-5	7	0	1	0	9
Ahmad Robinson	G	14	2-6	0-1	0-0	4	2	1	0	4
Jah Quinones	Guard	14	1-4	1-3	0-0	0	1	0	1	3
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	20	0-1	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	2	2
Jah Nze	Guard	16	0-2	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
Cam Bryant	Forward	12	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
TJ Grant	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Samford

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rylan Jones	Guard	26	8-11	7-9	0-0	4	6	1	0	23
Julian Brown	Guard	20	5-10	5-9	0-0	4	2	2	0	15
Jaden Brownell	F	16	4-9	4-8	0-0	2	2	0	0	12
Josh Holloway	G	18	4-11	2-6	1-2	1	0	3	0	11
Riley Allenspach	F	13	5-9	1-1	0-0	6	2	1	0	11
Trey Fort	G	24	4-10	2-6	0-1	3	1	1	0	10
Collin Holloway	Forward	22	2-9	0-5	2-2	7	5	0	3	6
Lukas Walls	G	17	1-4	1-2	3-4	2	3	2	0	6
Hamed Olayinka	F	17	2-5	0-0	0-0	6	3	2	2	4
Isaiah West	G	16	1-3	0-2	0-0	4	1	2	0	2
Zion Wilburn	G	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Brody Boyer	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Paulie Stramaglia	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.6Possessions78.6

100.5Offensive Efficiency127.2

127.2Defensive Efficiency100.5

-26.7Net Efficiency26.7

51.5%Effective FG%56.6%

51.4%True Shooting %57.3%

25.4%Turnover Rate14.1%

38.5%Free Throw Rate10.8%

36.9%3-Point Rate60.2%

0.60Assist / Turnover2.36

Game Summary

Samford won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 78.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.