Illinois State

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

31.5%Illinois State

68.5%UIC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUIC -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL145.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUIC -217

UIC

19-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIllinois State 70

Projected Total145.2

Projected ScoreUIC 75

Team Comparison

Illinois StateMetricUIC

54.3MMH Power Index56.7

110.6Offensive Efficiency110.5

101.4Defensive Efficiency103.3

9.2Net Efficiency7.2

1.0Strength of Schedule0.1

-4.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.2

67.5Tempo68.3

54.3%Effective FG%50.9%

16.8%Turnover Rate17.6%

28.3%Offensive Rebound %36.8%

32.0%Free Throw Rate37.2%

6.2Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (110.6–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.4–103.3), net efficiency (9.2–7.2), strength of schedule (1.0–0.1).

UIC COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (56.7–54.3), recent form (9.2–-4.4), offensive rebounding (36.8–28.3).

Final

Illinois State

81—79

UIC

Illinois State by 2 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Illinois StateTEAM STATUIC

27-52FG26-53

52.0%FG%49.0%

11-233PT8-21

48.0%3PT%38.0%

16-21FT19-25

76.0%FT%76.0%

28Rebounds29

5Offensive Rebounds8

17Assists16

8Turnovers10

3Steals4

2Blocks3

18Fouls22

Player Box Score

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chase Walker	F	28	10-14	1-1	10-13	9	4	0	0	31
Jordan Davis	Guard	32	6-9	5-8	0-0	1	0	0	0	17
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	24	4-5	3-4	1-2	3	1	0	0	12
Johnny Kinziger	G	28	2-7	1-4	2-2	1	2	0	0	7
Dalton Banks	Guard	27	2-7	0-2	1-2	0	4	1	0	5
Caden Boser	Forward	10	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
Jack Daugherty	F	5	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Ty Pence	G	27	0-3	0-1	2-2	8	1	1	1	2
Landon Wolf	G	19	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	1	1	0

UIC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyem Freeman	Guard	33	6-8	3-4	3-5	3	2	0	2	18
Jordan Mason	G	32	7-14	1-3	0-1	4	4	1	0	15
Javon Jackson	G	30	4-11	1-4	3-4	3	5	2	0	12
Saša Ciani	F	21	3-5	0-0	4-5	3	2	0	1	10
Ethan Pickett	G	24	2-4	2-3	2-2	7	0	0	0	8
Ahmad Henderson II	G	27	0-4	0-3	6-6	1	3	1	0	6
Filip Skobalj	Not Available	18	2-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Modestas Kancleris	Forward	14	2-3	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Joshua Aaron Reaves	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

122.7Offensive Efficiency119.7

119.7Defensive Efficiency122.7

3.0Net Efficiency-3.0

62.5%Effective FG%56.6%

65.3%True Shooting %60.9%

12.3%Turnover Rate15.0%

40.4%Free Throw Rate47.2%

44.2%3-Point Rate39.6%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.60

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.