Creighton

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

28.7%Creighton

71.3%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADProvidence -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL164.2

MODEL MONEYLINEProvidence -248

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCreighton 79

Projected Total164.2

Projected ScoreProvidence 85

Team Comparison

CreightonMetricProvidence

50.6MMH Power Index54.2

109.0Offensive Efficiency115.0

109.5Defensive Efficiency113.2

-0.5Net Efficiency1.8

5.1Strength of Schedule4.0

-5.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

68.9Tempo74.2

53.0%Effective FG%55.0%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.7%

26.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

29.0%Free Throw Rate37.3%

-0.3Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Providence HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY71.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMProvidence holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–50.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.0), net efficiency (1.8–-0.5), recent form (-1.3–-5.2).

Creighton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.5–113.2), strength of schedule (5.1–4.0), ball security (16.6–16.7).

Final

Creighton

80—69

Providence

Creighton by 11 • 70.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

CreightonTEAM STATProvidence

27-65FG27-66

42.0%FG%41.0%

8-313PT11-26

26.0%3PT%42.0%

18-21FT4-6

86.0%FT%67.0%

39Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists12

6Turnovers10

6Steals4

5Blocks3

10Fouls17

Player Box Score

Creighton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Kalkbrenner	Center	36	13-23	2-5	7-10	12	0	3	2	35
Steven Ashworth	Guard	40	7-15	3-9	6-6	6	6	0	0	23
Jamiya Neal	Guard	37	3-8	0-3	3-3	5	6	2	2	9
Jackson McAndrew	F	25	2-6	2-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	6
Jasen Green	F	13	1-4	1-3	0-0	2	0	0	1	3
Isaac Traudt	F	15	0-1	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Fred King	C	3	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Fedor Zugic	Guard	22	0-6	0-4	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Mason Miller	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	39	7-15	1-3	1-2	10	1	1	1	16
Jayden Pierre	G	39	5-12	3-5	1-2	4	5	0	1	14
Rich Barron	F	33	4-10	3-8	0-0	6	0	1	0	11
Bensley Joseph	Guard	20	3-9	2-4	0-0	0	2	2	0	8
Ryan Mela	G	24	2-9	1-3	2-2	6	0	0	0	7
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	16	3-5	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	6
Eli DeLaurier	F	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	1	5
Justyn Fernandez	G	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Christ Essandoko	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	3	0	0	0
Anton Bonke	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.5Possessions70.5

113.5Offensive Efficiency97.9

97.9Defensive Efficiency113.5

15.6Net Efficiency-15.6

47.7%Effective FG%49.2%

53.4%True Shooting %50.1%

8.5%Turnover Rate14.3%

32.3%Free Throw Rate9.1%

47.7%3-Point Rate39.4%

2.17Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

Creighton won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 70.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.