Arkansas

28-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

58.6%Arkansas

41.4%Texas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL170.8

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -142

Texas

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas 86

Projected Total170.8

Projected ScoreTexas 85

Team Comparison

ArkansasMetricTexas

69.3MMH Power Index61.6

122.2Offensive Efficiency119.6

109.8Defensive Efficiency110.1

12.4Net Efficiency9.5

8.6Strength of Schedule5.3

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.4

73.8Tempo69.2

56.4%Effective FG%55.1%

12.2%Turnover Rate15.5%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %35.9%

36.5%Free Throw Rate44.3%

9.2Average Margin6.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–61.6), offensive efficiency (122.2–119.6), defensive efficiency (109.8–110.1), net efficiency (12.4–9.5).

Texas COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (35.9–31.8), free throw rate (44.3–36.5).

Final

Arkansas

78—70

Texas

Arkansas by 8 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ArkansasTEAM STATTexas

22-50FG22-64

44.0%FG%34.0%

7-173PT6-22

41.0%3PT%27.0%

27-35FT20-27

77.0%FT%74.0%

36Rebounds41

3Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists12

9Turnovers11

8Steals5

7Blocks3

23Fouls24

Player Box Score

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnell Davis	Guard	39	7-15	4-8	6-6	5	2	4	0	24
Adou Thiero	Forward	22	4-5	0-0	6-12	5	2	0	1	14
D.J. Wagner	G	37	4-13	1-4	4-4	3	4	1	0	13
Karter Knox	G	36	1-2	1-1	6-6	4	2	2	1	9
Zvonimir Ivisic	C	35	4-10	1-3	0-1	12	2	0	4	9
Billy Richmond III	G	9	0-0	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	1	4
Trevon Brazile	F	18	1-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	1	0	3
Jonas Aidoo	Forward	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2

Texas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tre Johnson	Guard	37	6-22	3-9	10-12	5	4	2	0	25
Arthur Kaluma	Forward	33	3-11	0-3	6-6	13	0	1	1	12
Julian Larry	Guard	28	5-9	1-3	0-1	0	3	1	0	11
Kadin Shedrick	Forward	19	3-5	0-0	4-8	8	1	1	2	10
Jordan Pope	G	24	3-6	2-5	0-0	0	1	0	0	8
Jayson Kent	Forward	10	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Devon Pryor	F	9	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Tramon Mark	G	21	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Ze'Rik Onyema	Forward	16	0-4	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Nic Codie	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

105.8Offensive Efficiency95.0

95.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

10.9Net Efficiency-10.9

51.0%Effective FG%39.1%

58.5%True Shooting %45.6%

12.4%Turnover Rate14.7%

70.0%Free Throw Rate42.2%

34.0%3-Point Rate34.4%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Arkansas won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.