Colorado State

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Colorado State

80.7%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -11.0

PROJECTED TOTAL151.5

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -418

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColorado State 70

Projected Total151.5

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 81

Team Comparison

Colorado StateMetricNew Mexico

55.4MMH Power Index63.7

117.1Offensive Efficiency114.8

109.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

7.2Net Efficiency14.6

0.4Strength of Schedule2.0

4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

64.7Tempo70.7

58.6%Effective FG%53.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate14.8%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

41.2%Free Throw Rate36.5%

4.6Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–55.4), defensive efficiency (100.2–109.9), net efficiency (14.6–7.2), strength of schedule (2.0–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–114.8), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.7), free throw rate (41.2–36.5).

Final

Colorado State

65—87

New Mexico

New Mexico by 22 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Colorado StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

20-58FG30-56

34.0%FG%54.0%

5-233PT9-14

22.0%3PT%64.0%

20-24FT18-24

83.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds35

14Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists13

11Turnovers7

4Steals9

2Blocks7

19Fouls15

Player Box Score

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rashaan Mbemba	F	27	6-10	0-1	5-6	3	1	1	1	17
Kyan Evans	G	25	6-11	2-5	1-2	4	1	0	0	15
Nique Clifford	Guard	37	3-15	1-8	2-2	10	5	1	0	9
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	28	0-2	0-0	6-8	7	1	0	0	6
Bowen Born	Guard	14	2-4	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Jalen Lake	Guard	33	1-8	0-4	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Ethan Morton	Guard	12	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	1	2	0	4
Keshawn Williams	G	11	1-3	0-1	2-2	0	0	0	0	4
Kyle Jorgensen	F	11	0-3	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Nikola Djapa	C	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	37	8-18	0-1	3-4	6	4	2	1	19
CJ Noland	Guard	22	7-7	3-3	2-2	2	2	1	0	19
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	38	4-9	0-0	10-13	11	4	3	5	18
Tru Washington	G	32	5-7	2-2	3-5	3	1	3	0	15
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	22	2-7	2-4	0-0	7	0	0	1	6
Jovan Milicevic	F	18	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Filip Borovicanin	F	28	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kayde Dotson	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

98.6Offensive Efficiency132.0

132.0Defensive Efficiency98.6

-33.4Net Efficiency33.4

38.8%Effective FG%61.6%

46.8%True Shooting %64.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate10.7%

41.4%Free Throw Rate42.9%

39.7%3-Point Rate25.0%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.86

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.