NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%NC State

52.7%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -1.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.7

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -111

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 79

Projected Total158.7

Projected ScoreCalifornia 80

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricCalifornia

60.1MMH Power Index56.5

118.4Offensive Efficiency111.8

108.6Defensive Efficiency104.8

9.8Net Efficiency7.0

6.4Strength of Schedule2.8

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

70.2Tempo69.9

55.1%Effective FG%52.6%

13.1%Turnover Rate14.9%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

35.7%Free Throw Rate36.8%

6.9Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–56.5), offensive efficiency (118.4–111.8), net efficiency (9.8–7.0), strength of schedule (6.4–2.8).

California COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–108.6), recent form (1.8–-11.9), free throw rate (36.8–35.7).

Final

NC State

62—74

California

California by 12 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATCalifornia

24-62FG27-64

39.0%FG%42.0%

3-133PT9-21

23.0%3PT%43.0%

11-11FT11-12

100.0%FT%92.0%

32Rebounds44

6Offensive Rebounds12

5Assists16

5Turnovers8

3Steals4

4Blocks4

13Fouls8

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Hill	G	34	8-14	0-0	4-4	8	0	0	0	20
Jayden Taylor	Guard	35	3-10	1-5	2-2	5	1	1	0	9
Trey Parker	G	16	4-8	1-2	0-0	1	1	0	1	9
Ismael Diouf	F	24	3-4	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	1	7
Dontrez Styles	Guard	32	3-16	0-2	0-0	10	0	0	2	6
Michael O'Connell	Guard	27	2-6	0-2	2-2	1	3	1	0	6
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	2	1-1	0-0	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
Ben Middlebrooks	Forward	16	0-2	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Dennis Parker Jr.	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Breon Pass	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryce Heard	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	35	5-10	4-7	4-4	1	2	3	0	18
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	31	5-13	2-5	2-3	1	4	1	0	14
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	16	5-5	2-2	1-1	2	0	0	1	13
Rytis Petraitis	F	29	4-7	1-2	0-0	7	3	0	1	9
Mady Sissoko	Center	27	2-4	0-0	2-2	13	0	0	1	6
Andrej Stojakovic	G	24	2-12	0-3	2-2	4	2	0	1	6
DeJuan Campbell	G	21	2-9	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	4
Lee Dort	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	4
Christian Tucker	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

93.9Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency93.9

-18.2Net Efficiency18.2

41.1%Effective FG%49.2%

46.1%True Shooting %53.1%

7.6%Turnover Rate12.2%

17.7%Free Throw Rate18.8%

21.0%3-Point Rate32.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

California won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.