Mercyhurst

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.1%Mercyhurst

36.9%Chicago State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercyhurst -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL138.6

MODEL MONEYLINEMercyhurst -171

Chicago State

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercyhurst 71

Projected Total138.6

Projected ScoreChicago State 67

Team Comparison

MercyhurstMetricChicago State

45.5MMH Power Index36.1

105.2Offensive Efficiency99.4

102.2Defensive Efficiency114.9

3.0Net Efficiency-15.5

-5.7Strength of Schedule0.5

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

65.9Tempo66.2

50.5%Effective FG%45.6%

14.4%Turnover Rate15.8%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

25.4%Free Throw Rate30.7%

2.0Average Margin-10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercyhurst HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercyhurst holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (45.5–36.1), offensive efficiency (105.2–99.4), defensive efficiency (102.2–114.9), net efficiency (3.0–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-5.7), offensive rebounding (29.1–26.8), free throw rate (30.7–25.4).

Final

Mercyhurst

78—85

Chicago State

Chicago State by 7 • 74.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercyhurstTEAM STATChicago State

29-57FG27-59

51.0%FG%46.0%

7-173PT8-23

41.0%3PT%35.0%

13-16FT23-29

81.0%FT%79.0%

33Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists14

17Turnovers12

8Steals8

—Blocks4

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Mercyhurst

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Aidan Reichert	Forward	33	9-16	2-3	0-0	7	1	1	20
Jeff Planutis	Forward	37	6-13	2-6	1-1	4	2	2	15
Bernie Blunt III	G	30	4-12	1-5	4-5	1	2	3	13
Mykolas Ivanauskas	F	26	5-5	0-0	3-4	12	1	0	13
Shemar Rathan-Mayes	Guard	30	3-4	1-1	5-6	2	6	1	12
Jake Lemelman	G	15	1-3	1-2	0-0	2	1	0	3
Christian Gamble	G	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	2
James Thomas	F	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Sean Lang	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Deshaun Jackson Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Forrest	G	37	8-18	4-8	17-20	7	0	0	0	37
Noble Crawford	Forward	31	6-13	2-8	0-0	3	4	4	2	14
Quincy Allen	G	21	4-8	0-3	2-2	5	1	1	0	10
CJ Delancy	F	19	3-5	0-0	2-2	2	2	1	0	8
Gabe Spinelli	G	37	3-6	0-0	0-2	4	5	1	0	6
Troy McKoy Jr.	Guard	8	1-3	1-1	2-2	4	0	0	1	5
Matthew Robinson	Guard	34	1-5	1-3	0-1	2	2	1	1	3
Dailliss Cox	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Joe Spinelli	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.2Possessions74.2

105.1Offensive Efficiency114.6

114.6Defensive Efficiency105.1

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

57.0%Effective FG%52.5%

60.4%True Shooting %58.4%

23.1%Turnover Rate16.0%

28.1%Free Throw Rate49.2%

29.8%3-Point Rate39.0%

0.82Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Chicago State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 74.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.