Jacksonville

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

47.3%Jacksonville

52.7%Stetson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADStetson -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEStetson -111

Stetson

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreJacksonville 76

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreStetson 76

Team Comparison

JacksonvilleMetricStetson

43.6MMH Power Index40

109.8Offensive Efficiency107.2

110.3Defensive Efficiency115.9

-0.5Net Efficiency-8.7

-4.8Strength of Schedule-1.0

-3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.9

66.6Tempo68.7

51.7%Effective FG%53.8%

16.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

33.9%Free Throw Rate33.6%

-0.3Average Margin-6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–40.0), offensive efficiency (109.8–107.2), defensive efficiency (110.3–115.9), net efficiency (-0.5–-8.7).

Stetson COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.0–-4.8), recent form (-2.9–-3.2), shooting efficiency (53.8–51.7).

Final

Jacksonville

74—65

Stetson

Jacksonville by 9 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

JacksonvilleTEAM STATStetson

32-72FG21-57

44.0%FG%37.0%

5-193PT5-18

26.0%3PT%28.0%

5-8FT18-21

63.0%FT%86.0%

45Rebounds35

16Offensive Rebounds9

16Assists9

9Turnovers13

8Steals5

3Blocks6

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kendall Munson	Forward	28	10-16	0-0	3-4	7	3	0	0	23
Stephon Payne	F	27	6-10	0-0	2-3	12	3	1	1	14
Jakari Spence	Guard	32	6-13	0-0	0-1	9	5	1	0	12
Chris Arias	G	33	4-9	3-6	0-0	2	1	3	1	11
Zach Bell	G	32	4-7	1-2	0-0	2	2	1	1	9
Kent Jackson	G	24	1-8	1-6	0-0	3	2	1	0	3
Tito Deng	F	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Donovan Rivers	F	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	0
Zimi Nwokeji	Forward	8	0-5	0-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Stetson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Massey	Forward	32	6-10	0-2	4-4	3	2	0	1	16
Jordan Wood	Forward	30	4-12	3-6	2-2	2	1	0	0	13
Mehki Ellison	G	29	4-13	1-3	3-3	4	1	1	0	12
Finley Sheridan	F	20	2-2	0-0	4-5	5	0	0	1	8
Jamie Phillips Jr.	G	31	2-11	0-3	3-4	6	3	1	1	7
Tristan Gross	G	23	2-6	1-4	1-1	2	0	2	0	6
Treyton Thompson	Forward	19	1-2	0-0	1-2	10	1	0	3	3
Blaize Sagna	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Daniel Macgregor	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Stefano Alesso	Forward	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

105.9Offensive Efficiency93.0

93.0Defensive Efficiency105.9

12.9Net Efficiency-12.9

47.9%Effective FG%41.2%

48.8%True Shooting %48.5%

13.1%Turnover Rate18.3%

11.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

26.4%3-Point Rate31.6%

1.78Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

Jacksonville won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.