Niagara

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.6%Niagara

92.4%Merrimack

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMerrimack -16.5

PROJECTED TOTAL133.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMerrimack -1216

Merrimack

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNiagara 58

Projected Total133.4

Projected ScoreMerrimack 75

Team Comparison

NiagaraMetricMerrimack

35.8MMH Power Index53.7

100.8Offensive Efficiency106.4

112.4Defensive Efficiency103.2

-11.6Net Efficiency3.2

-0.8Strength of Schedule0.7

-5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency12.9

63.4Tempo64.4

50.9%Effective FG%49.3%

18.8%Turnover Rate14.8%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %24.7%

27.3%Free Throw Rate39.5%

-7.4Average Margin2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Merrimack HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMerrimack holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–35.8), offensive efficiency (106.4–100.8), defensive efficiency (103.2–112.4), net efficiency (3.2–-11.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (50.9–49.3), offensive rebounding (24.9–24.7).

Final

Niagara

59—64

Merrimack

Merrimack by 5 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NiagaraTEAM STATMerrimack

21-54FG23-61

39.0%FG%38.0%

3-143PT3-19

21.0%3PT%16.0%

14-19FT15-18

74.0%FT%83.0%

44Rebounds31

14Offensive Rebounds10

9Assists6

17Turnovers9

6Steals13

3Blocks4

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	20	2-3	0-0	9-10	7	0	0	0	13
Josiah Davis	G	30	5-13	0-0	1-4	4	2	1	0	11
Justice Smith	Forward	26	2-8	0-1	2-2	6	5	2	1	6
Jahari Williamson	G	17	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Will Shortt	F	15	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	0	2	1	6
Jaeden Marshall	G	14	2-7	0-2	1-1	5	0	0	1	5
Zion Russell	G	16	2-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	25	1-4	0-3	1-2	9	1	1	0	3
Damondre McKnight	Guard	6	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Justin Page	G	31	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Merrimack

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Clark	G	38	13-29	0-4	6-6	7	2	6	0	32
Sean Trumper	Forward	36	4-9	0-3	5-7	3	3	1	1	13
Matt Becht	Guard	34	1-7	1-4	3-3	3	1	3	0	6
Bryan Etumnu	F	22	2-4	1-2	1-2	7	0	0	2	6
David Murray	Forward	8	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Devon Savage	Guard	31	1-6	1-6	0-0	3	0	2	1	3
Tye Dorset	G	23	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Malik Edmead	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

87.7Offensive Efficiency95.1

95.1Defensive Efficiency87.7

-7.4Net Efficiency7.4

41.7%Effective FG%40.2%

46.8%True Shooting %46.0%

25.7%Turnover Rate13.1%

35.2%Free Throw Rate29.5%

25.9%3-Point Rate31.1%

0.53Assist / Turnover0.67

Game Summary

Merrimack won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.