Marist

19-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.9%Marist

60.1%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL139.1

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -151

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMarist 68

Projected Total139.1

Projected ScoreFairfield 71

Team Comparison

MaristMetricFairfield

51MMH Power Index50.1

104.3Offensive Efficiency109.6

95.6Defensive Efficiency105.4

8.7Net Efficiency4.2

-3.2Strength of Schedule-3.4

2.9Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

66.8Tempo67.8

49.9%Effective FG%49.1%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

29.4%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

26.1%Free Throw Rate28.4%

5.8Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Marist HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMarist holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.0–50.1), defensive efficiency (95.6–105.4), net efficiency (8.7–4.2), strength of schedule (-3.2–-3.4).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–104.3), recent form (3.3–2.9), ball security (15.0–16.8).

Final

Marist

56—59

Fairfield

Fairfield by 3 • 59.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MaristTEAM STATFairfield

22-56FG17-54

39.0%FG%31.0%

5-193PT4-14

26.0%3PT%29.0%

7-13FT21-26

54.0%FT%81.0%

44Rebounds34

14Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists6

11Turnovers4

3Steals4

5Blocks3

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

Marist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Pascarelli	G	34	6-13	3-6	0-1	7	1	0	0	15
Jadin Collins-Roberts	G	34	4-7	2-2	0-2	8	3	1	1	10
Jaden Daughtry	F	27	4-8	0-3	1-3	6	3	1	1	9
Tarik Watson	C	18	4-8	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2	8
Travis Roberts	SG	18	3-7	0-3	1-1	2	0	0	0	7
Matt McCool	Forward	11	1-2	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Elijah Lewis	G	22	0-3	0-1	2-2	1	4	0	0	2
Caleb Mackrey	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Parby Kabamba	F	12	0-4	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Trace Salton	F	12	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	0
Martin Kawa	G	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deon Perry	Guard	19	6-14	3-7	4-4	2	1	1	0	19
Prophet Johnson	G	36	2-12	0-1	5-6	9	0	1	0	9
Jamie Bergens	Guard	36	2-7	1-2	4-6	3	0	0	0	9
Peyton Smith	F	19	3-5	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	2	8
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	32	1-6	0-2	2-3	5	0	0	0	4
Braden Sparks	G	22	1-5	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	4
Isaac Munkadi	F	19	1-2	0-0	2-3	8	2	1	1	4
Michael Rogan	G	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Birima Seck	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.3Possessions59.3

94.4Offensive Efficiency99.5

99.5Defensive Efficiency94.4

-5.1Net Efficiency5.1

43.8%Effective FG%35.2%

45.0%True Shooting %44.5%

18.6%Turnover Rate6.7%

23.2%Free Throw Rate48.1%

33.9%3-Point Rate25.9%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 59.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.