Middle Tennessee

17-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Middle Tennessee

59.0%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -3.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.3

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -144

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 71

Projected Total145.3

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 74

Team Comparison

Middle TennesseeMetricJacksonville State

52.5MMH Power Index51.2

109.6Offensive Efficiency108.2

105.7Defensive Efficiency101.8

3.9Net Efficiency6.4

0.4Strength of Schedule-2.3

3.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

68.8Tempo67.2

52.2%Effective FG%51.0%

16.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

31.3%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

33.2%Free Throw Rate44.5%

2.7Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–51.2), offensive efficiency (109.6–108.2), strength of schedule (0.4–-2.3), recent form (3.2–-0.3).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.8–105.7), net efficiency (6.4–3.9), free throw rate (44.5–33.2).

Final

Middle Tennessee

63—77

Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State by 14 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Middle TennesseeTEAM STATJacksonville State

20-56FG29-65

36.0%FG%45.0%

5-183PT16-29

28.0%3PT%55.0%

18-25FT3-8

72.0%FT%38.0%

37Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists13

8Turnovers9

2Steals5

4Blocks5

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jestin Porter	G	39	3-11	3-6	8-9	2	1	0	0	17
Jlynn Counter	G	30	5-12	1-3	0-0	8	3	0	0	11
Essam Mostafa	Forward	33	4-8	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	1	10
Camryn Weston	Guard	24	4-12	0-5	2-2	2	3	1	0	10
Torey Alston	F	35	2-7	0-0	4-7	13	0	0	3	8
Isiah Lightsy	Guard	1	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Chris Loofe	F	7	1-2	0-1	0-3	4	0	0	0	2
Tre Green	G	6	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Justin Bufford	Guard	21	0-3	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Alec Oglesby	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jack Jubenville	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jacob Johnson	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	40	13-24	10-16	0-1	5	4	0	1	36
Koree Cotton	G	21	6-10	5-6	0-0	4	2	1	0	17
Michael Houge	F	28	6-10	1-1	0-1	9	0	0	0	13
Quel'Ron House	G	34	2-11	0-2	2-2	3	5	0	0	6
Mason Nicholson	F	27	1-3	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	3	2
Jao Ituka	G	14	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	27	0-2	0-1	1-2	5	1	1	0	1
Iaroslav Niagu	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

95.6Offensive Efficiency116.8

116.8Defensive Efficiency95.6

-21.2Net Efficiency21.2

40.2%Effective FG%56.9%

46.4%True Shooting %56.0%

12.3%Turnover Rate13.5%

44.6%Free Throw Rate12.3%

32.1%3-Point Rate44.6%

1.25Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.