Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

79.4%Montana State

20.6%Northern Arizona

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -8.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -385

Northern Arizona

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 79

Projected Total150.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Arizona 71

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricNorthern Arizona

53.6MMH Power Index36.9

114.4Offensive Efficiency107.1

104.9Defensive Efficiency114.8

9.5Net Efficiency-7.7

-3.7Strength of Schedule-1.8

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.5

68.1Tempo66.6

55.1%Effective FG%53.5%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.8%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %24.0%

30.7%Free Throw Rate33.6%

6.5Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–36.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–107.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–114.8), net efficiency (9.5–-7.7).

Northern Arizona COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.8–-3.7), free throw rate (33.6–30.7).

Final

Montana State

64—69

Northern Arizona

Northern Arizona by 5 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATNorthern Arizona

22-58FG27-57

38.0%FG%47.0%

7-233PT4-17

30.0%3PT%24.0%

13-15FT11-16

87.0%FT%69.0%

32Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds10

14Assists17

7Turnovers7

4Steals2

3Blocks—

14Fouls13

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jabe Mullins	Guard	29	5-10	1-5	5-5	8	3	0	0	16
Tyler Patterson	Guard	25	5-9	5-9	0-0	0	1	1	1	15
Brandon Walker	F	22	5-10	1-1	3-4	4	2	0	0	14
Sam Lecholat	Forward	24	2-7	0-2	2-2	5	1	1	1	6
Patrick McMahon	G	19	2-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Chika Nduka	Forward	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	4
Jed Miller	G	25	0-3	0-2	2-2	3	5	2	0	2
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Bryce Zephir	G	15	0-4	0-1	1-2	0	1	0	0	1
Brian Goracke	Forward	11	0-4	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
BJ Kolly	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Northern Arizona

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Trent McLaughlin	Guard	37	6-15	1-6	7-9	3	6	1	20
Jayden Jackson	G	38	6-9	1-2	2-3	5	1	0	15
Carson Towt	F	39	6-10	0-0	2-4	17	3	0	14
Monty Bowser	G	27	3-10	2-6	0-0	5	4	1	8
Dillan Baker	G	14	3-5	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	6
Diego Campisano	F	31	2-7	0-3	0-0	2	3	0	4
Leigh Rickwood-Pitt	Forward	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
C.J. Ford	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Ryan Abelman	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

102.6Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency102.6

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

44.0%Effective FG%50.9%

49.1%True Shooting %53.4%

11.1%Turnover Rate11.4%

25.9%Free Throw Rate28.1%

39.7%3-Point Rate29.8%

2.00Assist / Turnover2.43

Game Summary

Northern Arizona won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.