Montana

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

19.3%Montana

80.7%Northern Colorado

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Colorado -9.4

PROJECTED TOTAL158.8

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Colorado -418

Northern Colorado

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana 75

Projected Total158.8

Projected ScoreNorthern Colorado 84

Team Comparison

MontanaMetricNorthern Colorado

45.4MMH Power Index53.7

108.6Offensive Efficiency116.0

104.8Defensive Efficiency107.6

3.8Net Efficiency8.4

-2.4Strength of Schedule-4.3

-6.5Last 10 Net Efficiency10.8

71.2Tempo71.1

56.3%Effective FG%56.9%

19.2%Turnover Rate15.3%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %27.9%

37.7%Free Throw Rate27.8%

2.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Colorado HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Colorado holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.7–45.4), offensive efficiency (116.0–108.6), net efficiency (8.4–3.8), recent form (10.8–-6.5).

Montana COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.8–107.6), strength of schedule (-2.4–-4.3), free throw rate (37.7–27.8).

Final

Montana

86—78

Northern Colorado

Montana by 8 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MontanaTEAM STATNorthern Colorado

31-50FG29-61

62.0%FG%48.0%

10-163PT13-27

63.0%3PT%48.0%

14-20FT7-9

70.0%FT%78.0%

30Rebounds26

4Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists14

13Turnovers9

6Steals7

5Blocks3

10Fouls16

Player Box Score

Montana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Money Williams	G	24	6-10	3-5	4-4	8	1	0	0	19
Te'Jon Sawyer	F	32	6-9	2-2	1-2	7	3	0	0	15
Kai Johnson	Guard	36	4-8	0-1	6-7	3	3	2	1	14
Malik Messina-Moore	G	31	5-7	3-4	0-2	4	1	0	0	13
Joe Pridgen	Guard	20	6-9	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	3	13
Brandon Whitney	Guard	31	3-5	1-2	2-3	1	3	3	0	9
Austin Patterson	Guard	23	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Amari Jedkins	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Northern Colorado

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quinn Denker	G	24	7-12	5-7	2-2	3	1	1	0	21
Isaiah Hawthorne	Forward	34	6-14	3-5	2-3	7	1	1	1	17
Langston Reynolds	G	35	7-13	0-1	0-0	4	6	0	1	14
Jaron Rillie	Guard	29	4-10	2-6	0-0	3	1	1	0	10
Zach Bloch	G	35	3-6	3-6	0-0	0	1	1	1	9
Brock Wisne	F	26	2-4	0-0	1-2	2	3	3	0	5
Marcell McCreary	G	13	0-2	0-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Taeshaud Jackson	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Egan Shields	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

125.7Offensive Efficiency114.0

114.0Defensive Efficiency125.7

11.7Net Efficiency-11.7

72.0%Effective FG%58.2%

72.3%True Shooting %59.7%

19.0%Turnover Rate13.2%

40.0%Free Throw Rate14.8%

32.0%3-Point Rate44.3%

0.85Assist / Turnover1.56

Game Summary

Montana won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.