Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%Bellarmine

39.0%North Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL170.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -156

North Florida

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 86

Projected Total170.6

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 84

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricNorth Florida

44.9MMH Power Index36.3

119.6Offensive Efficiency109.4

122.1Defensive Efficiency121.1

-2.5Net Efficiency-11.7

-2.8Strength of Schedule-0.6

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.3

66.9Tempo72.8

60.0%Effective FG%53.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

35.3%Free Throw Rate29.5%

-1.7Average Margin-8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–36.3), offensive efficiency (119.6–109.4), net efficiency (-2.5–-11.7), recent form (0.3–-9.3).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (121.1–122.1), strength of schedule (-0.6–-2.8), offensive rebounding (26.6–22.7).

Final

Bellarmine

88—95

North Florida

North Florida by 7 • 76.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATNorth Florida

34-68FG28-55

50.0%FG%51.0%

11-303PT12-28

37.0%3PT%43.0%

9-14FT27-28

64.0%FT%96.0%

24Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds10

22Assists16

10Turnovers17

12Steals5

1Blocks4

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jack Karasinski	F	30	11-17	1-2	5-8	3	1	1	0	28
Billy Smith	G	30	5-8	4-6	0-0	1	6	0	0	14
Kenyon Goodin	G	33	4-10	2-5	2-2	3	5	2	0	12
Tyler Doyle	G	35	5-9	1-3	0-0	3	5	2	0	11
Landin Hacker	Guard	27	4-10	3-9	0-0	2	3	2	1	11
Curt Hopf	Forward	11	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	6
Grant Whitaker	G	16	1-4	0-2	1-2	2	0	2	0	3
AJ Lux	Guard	8	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Myles Watkins	G	7	0-4	0-2	1-2	0	1	1	0	1
Dezmond McKinney	Guard	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jasai Miles	G	34	7-14	4-10	4-4	8	3	1	0	22
Kamrin Oriol	G	28	5-8	5-8	6-6	5	3	0	0	21
Liam Murphy	F	28	4-7	3-4	5-5	7	1	2	0	16
Josh Harris	F	22	6-9	0-1	4-4	5	0	1	2	16
Jaylen Smith	G	32	1-5	0-2	5-6	0	5	0	0	7
Nate Lliteras	Guard	30	2-5	0-2	3-3	8	3	0	2	7
Oscar Berry	Guard	16	2-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Ametri Moss	G	8	1-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Dante Oliver	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.5Possessions76.5

115.0Offensive Efficiency124.2

124.2Defensive Efficiency115.0

-9.2Net Efficiency9.2

58.1%Effective FG%61.8%

58.9%True Shooting %69.5%

12.9%Turnover Rate22.6%

20.6%Free Throw Rate50.9%

44.1%3-Point Rate50.9%

2.20Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

North Florida won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 76.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.