Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

2.2%Western Illinois

97.8%Tennessee State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -25.3

PROJECTED TOTAL149.8

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -4445

Tennessee State

23-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 62

Projected Total149.8

Projected ScoreTennessee State 88

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricTennessee State

25.9MMH Power Index55.4

96.2Offensive Efficiency110.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency102.7

-17.7Net Efficiency8.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule-3.1

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency13.7

67.5Tempo72.4

45.4%Effective FG%50.9%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %34.8%

37.5%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-11.9Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY97.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–25.9), offensive efficiency (110.9–96.2), defensive efficiency (102.7–113.9), net efficiency (8.2–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-3.1), free throw rate (37.5–34.7).

Final

Western Illinois

69—87

Tennessee State

Tennessee State by 18 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATTennessee State

25-55FG27-61

45.0%FG%44.0%

11-213PT6-17

52.0%3PT%35.0%

8-12FT27-35

67.0%FT%77.0%

28Rebounds41

8Offensive Rebounds19

15Assists11

19Turnovers10

4Steals10

7Blocks6

23Fouls10

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Deveaux	F	39	5-11	1-3	7-9	8	2	2	0	18
Marko Maletic	Guard	33	6-12	5-6	0-0	7	0	0	1	17
Julius Rollins	G	36	5-9	3-5	1-2	2	2	0	0	14
Ryan Myers	G	24	3-7	2-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	8
Sean Smith	G	31	2-9	0-2	0-0	3	7	1	0	4
Tay Knox	C	15	2-2	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	2	4
Massal Diouf	Forward	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	1	4
Rodrick Payne	Forward	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	3	0

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Aaron Nkrumah	G	34	5-13	1-3	3-4	8	7	2	0	14
Travis Harper II	G	32	4-10	1-5	4-5	5	0	2	0	13
Justus Jackson	Guard	20	5-8	3-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	13
Ronald Jessamy	F	17	4-5	0-0	4-6	7	0	0	2	12
Brandon Weston	Guard	26	1-5	1-2	5-6	1	1	1	1	8
Ahmir Langlais	Forward	13	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	8
Carlous Williams	F	21	1-5	0-0	5-6	5	0	1	1	7
Josh Ogundele	F	14	1-2	0-0	4-4	4	1	1	2	6
Antoine Lorick III	F	11	2-5	0-0	2-4	1	0	2	0	6
Knute Wood	Guard	12	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

98.3Offensive Efficiency123.9

123.9Defensive Efficiency98.3

-25.6Net Efficiency25.6

55.5%Effective FG%49.2%

56.8%True Shooting %56.0%

26.5%Turnover Rate14.6%

21.8%Free Throw Rate57.4%

38.2%3-Point Rate27.9%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.10

Game Summary

Tennessee State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.