Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

85.6%Saint Mary's

14.4%San Francisco

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -10.6

PROJECTED TOTAL145.6

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -594

San Francisco

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 78

Projected Total145.6

Projected ScoreSan Francisco 68

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricSan Francisco

70.7MMH Power Index50.1

116.7Offensive Efficiency110.4

97.4Defensive Efficiency108.2

19.3Net Efficiency2.2

3.0Strength of Schedule1.4

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.7

66.3Tempo67.6

53.1%Effective FG%51.9%

16.6%Turnover Rate16.1%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate40.5%

12.8Average Margin1.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY85.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–50.1), offensive efficiency (116.7–110.4), defensive efficiency (97.4–108.2), net efficiency (19.3–2.2).

San Francisco COUNTERS WITHball security (16.1–16.6), free throw rate (40.5–36.8).

Final

Saint Mary's

64—65

San Francisco

San Francisco by 1 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATSan Francisco

26-60FG25-57

43.0%FG%44.0%

3-233PT5-16

13.0%3PT%31.0%

9-16FT10-16

56.0%FT%63.0%

35Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds9

9Assists9

5Turnovers10

7Steals2

1Blocks2

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	40	8-21	2-12	2-4	2	7	4	0	20
Mitchell Saxen	Center	34	5-9	0-0	4-8	11	2	2	1	14
Paulius Murauskas	F	21	4-9	1-5	3-3	6	0	0	0	12
Jordan Ross	G	35	4-8	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	8
Luke Barrett	Forward	40	2-5	0-2	0-0	5	0	0	0	4
Harry Wessels	C	6	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	4
Ashton Hardaway	F	18	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Mikey Lewis	G	6	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

San Francisco

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Williams	Guard	32	7-16	2-4	0-0	5	2	0	0	16
Ryan Beasley	G	25	4-8	0-2	4-4	1	2	0	0	12
Carlton Linguard Jr.	Center	35	5-13	1-5	0-4	6	1	0	1	11
Malik Thomas	G	27	4-9	1-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	11
Junjie Wang	F	30	2-7	1-3	1-1	4	1	0	0	6
Tyrone Riley IV	G	27	2-3	0-0	2-3	9	1	1	1	6
Jason Rivera-Torres	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Veniamin Abosi	G	10	0-0	0-0	1-2	2	1	0	0	1
James O'Donnell	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

99.1Offensive Efficiency100.6

100.6Defensive Efficiency99.1

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

45.8%Effective FG%48.2%

47.3%True Shooting %50.3%

7.9%Turnover Rate15.2%

26.7%Free Throw Rate28.1%

38.3%3-Point Rate28.1%

1.80Assist / Turnover0.90

Game Summary

San Francisco won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.