UC Santa Barbara

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

83.6%UC Santa Barbara

16.4%Cal State Bakersfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -10.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.6

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -510

Cal State Bakersfield

8-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 83

Projected Total155.6

Projected ScoreCal State Bakersfield 73

Team Comparison

UC Santa BarbaraMetricCal State Bakersfield

51.4MMH Power Index32.2

113.2Offensive Efficiency100.2

106.1Defensive Efficiency112.6

7.1Net Efficiency-12.4

-2.0Strength of Schedule-1.7

-1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.5

68.5Tempo73.0

54.8%Effective FG%46.4%

18.7%Turnover Rate18.6%

32.5%Offensive Rebound %30.2%

37.9%Free Throw Rate43.8%

4.8Average Margin-9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–32.2), offensive efficiency (113.2–100.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–112.6), net efficiency (7.1–-12.4).

Cal State Bakersfield COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.0), ball security (18.6–18.7), free throw rate (43.8–37.9).

Final

UC Santa Barbara

81—75

Cal State Bakersfield

UC Santa Barbara by 6 • 61.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC Santa BarbaraTEAM STATCal State Bakersfield

30-42FG28-56

71.0%FG%50.0%

12-183PT7-18

67.0%3PT%39.0%

9-15FT12-15

60.0%FT%80.0%

26Rebounds20

5Offensive Rebounds10

16Assists12

16Turnovers10

6Steals9

3Blocks—

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Stephan Swenson	Guard	36	8-13	4-7	2-3	6	7	1	0	22
Kenny Pohto	Forward	30	6-9	0-0	2-5	5	0	0	0	14
Max Murrell	Forward	30	5-5	3-3	0-0	2	1	2	2	13
Jason Fontenet II	G	29	4-4	1-1	2-3	3	6	1	0	11
Ben Shtolzberg	G	16	3-4	0-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	8
Cole Anderson	Guard	31	2-4	2-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	6
Deuce Turner	G	12	2-3	2-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	6
Ariel Bland	F	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1	1
Koat Keat Tong	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Evans Kipruto	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zion Sensley	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Cal State Bakersfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
CJ Hardy	G	38	7-10	3-4	2-3	3	1	2	19
Jemel Jones	G	21	5-9	1-2	5-6	1	0	0	16
Corey Stephenson	G	36	5-13	0-3	2-2	5	7	2	12
Fidelis Okereke	Forward	31	3-7	0-0	1-2	6	0	2	7
Kadar Waller	G	17	3-3	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	7
Shakir Odunewu	C	9	3-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	6
Marvin McGhee III	G	24	1-7	1-6	2-2	4	0	0	5
Jaden Alexander	G	20	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	1	2	3
Marvin McGhee IV	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

61.6Possessions61.6

131.5Offensive Efficiency121.8

121.8Defensive Efficiency131.5

9.7Net Efficiency-9.7

85.7%Effective FG%56.3%

82.4%True Shooting %59.4%

26.6%Turnover Rate15.8%

35.7%Free Throw Rate26.8%

42.9%3-Point Rate32.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.20

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 61.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.