Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.0%Cal State Fullerton

64.0%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -4.8

PROJECTED TOTAL168.2

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -178

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 82

Projected Total168.2

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 87

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricCal State Northridge

49.4MMH Power Index50

108.8Offensive Efficiency107.3

107.1Defensive Efficiency105.2

1.7Net Efficiency2.1

-1.2Strength of Schedule-0.6

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

76.3Tempo75.9

52.6%Effective FG%51.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate34.7%

1.3Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–49.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–107.1), net efficiency (2.1–1.7), strength of schedule (-0.6–-1.2).

Cal State Fullerton COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.8–107.3), recent form (2.7–1.8), shooting efficiency (52.6–51.0).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

63—82

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 19 • 72.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATCal State Northridge

16-44FG29-67

36.0%FG%43.0%

7-183PT11-33

39.0%3PT%33.0%

24-32FT13-17

75.0%FT%76.0%

34Rebounds40

7Offensive Rebounds14

11Assists25

19Turnovers12

4Steals14

2Blocks4

16Fouls26

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Oday	G	29	5-9	3-4	5-6	3	1	0	0	18
Kaleb Brown	G	22	2-6	1-2	6-6	4	3	2	1	11
Keith Richard	Guard	27	2-5	1-3	3-3	5	3	1	0	8
Zachary Visentin	Center	29	0-2	0-0	7-8	3	1	0	0	7
Kendrick De Luna	F	30	3-5	0-0	0-0	7	2	1	1	6
Antwan Robinson	Guard	21	2-9	2-6	0-2	2	0	0	0	6
LoLo Rudolph	Guard	30	1-3	0-1	2-6	1	1	0	0	4
Kobe Young	Guard	12	1-5	0-2	1-1	3	0	0	0	3

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	34	8-18	5-11	0-0	7	3	4	1	21
Keonte Jones	G	31	6-11	1-4	5-7	12	6	5	3	18
Tyler Beard	Guard	28	4-11	2-7	2-2	2	9	0	0	12
Scotty Washington	G	10	3-6	2-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	8
Mahmoud Fofana	F	28	3-5	0-0	1-3	5	2	0	0	7
Jordan Brinson	G	22	1-4	1-4	2-2	3	3	1	0	5
PJ Fuller II	Guard	28	2-8	0-4	0-0	1	1	1	0	4
Grady Lewis	F	10	1-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	0	4
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	7	1-2	0-0	1-1	2	1	1	0	3
Judson Martindale	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Barbee	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.2Possessions72.2

87.3Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency87.3

-26.3Net Efficiency26.3

44.3%Effective FG%51.5%

53.2%True Shooting %54.6%

26.7%Turnover Rate16.4%

72.7%Free Throw Rate25.4%

40.9%3-Point Rate49.3%

0.58Assist / Turnover2.08

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 19 points. The game played at approximately 72.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.