UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%UC Davis

42.5%Long Beach State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -1.5

PROJECTED TOTAL155.4

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -135

Long Beach State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 78

Projected Total155.4

Projected ScoreLong Beach State 77

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricLong Beach State

48.4MMH Power Index41.1

107.2Offensive Efficiency103.8

103.7Defensive Efficiency107.8

3.5Net Efficiency-4.0

-1.9Strength of Schedule-1.4

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.7

72.4Tempo72.2

52.3%Effective FG%51.5%

17.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %26.3%

41.5%Free Throw Rate31.1%

2.5Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–41.1), offensive efficiency (107.2–103.8), defensive efficiency (103.7–107.8), net efficiency (3.5–-4.0).

Long Beach State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-1.9).

Final

UC Davis

73—65

Long Beach State

UC Davis by 8 • 73.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATLong Beach State

25-52FG21-52

48.0%FG%40.0%

8-223PT6-19

36.0%3PT%32.0%

15-20FT17-24

75.0%FT%71.0%

29Rebounds30

5Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists14

15Turnovers20

11Steals7

3Blocks3

16Fouls17

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	39	9-17	4-8	11-14	4	4	2	0	33
Pablo Tamba	F	34	7-10	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	0	14
Connor Sevilla	G	39	2-8	2-6	0-0	0	2	2	0	6
Niko Rocak	F	37	3-4	0-0	0-1	7	4	3	3	6
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	35	1-5	1-5	2-3	4	4	3	0	5
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	21	1-5	1-3	2-2	2	1	0	0	5
Isaiah Chappell	F	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Nils Cooper	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Long Beach State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Devin Askew	G	43	5-13	1-4	6-8	5	4	2	0	17
Cam Denson	F	16	4-7	2-3	0-0	3	1	0	1	10
Andrew Nagy	Forward	39	3-6	0-1	3-4	5	1	1	1	9
TJ Wainwright	G	38	3-9	1-4	2-2	1	4	0	0	9
Austin Johnson	Not Available	34	4-10	0-1	1-2	7	2	0	1	9
Varick Lewis	G	23	2-6	2-5	0-2	2	1	2	0	6
Kam Martin	G	28	0-1	0-1	5-6	2	1	2	0	5
Christian Richardson	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.5Possessions73.5

99.3Offensive Efficiency88.4

88.4Defensive Efficiency99.3

10.9Net Efficiency-10.9

55.8%Effective FG%46.2%

59.3%True Shooting %51.3%

21.0%Turnover Rate26.5%

38.5%Free Throw Rate46.2%

42.3%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.70

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 73.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.