VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

53.4%VCU

46.6%Dayton

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -0.4

PROJECTED TOTAL149.6

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -115

Dayton

25-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 75

Projected Total149.6

Projected ScoreDayton 75

Team Comparison

VCUMetricDayton

65.7MMH Power Index59.9

116.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

103.3Defensive Efficiency101.5

13.1Net Efficiency7.0

5.4Strength of Schedule5.7

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

69.5Tempo68.3

53.7%Effective FG%52.0%

15.1%Turnover Rate16.9%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

42.9%Free Throw Rate47.6%

9.1Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–59.9), offensive efficiency (116.4–108.5), net efficiency (13.1–7.0), shooting efficiency (53.7–52.0).

Dayton COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.5–103.3), strength of schedule (5.7–5.4), recent form (6.4–6.0).

Final

VCU

73—68

Dayton

VCU by 5 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATDayton

25-69FG19-51

36.0%FG%37.0%

6-283PT7-19

21.0%3PT%37.0%

17-19FT23-25

89.0%FT%92.0%

44Rebounds34

23Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists14

14Turnovers19

11Steals9

3Blocks4

17Fouls13

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zeb Jackson	Guard	30	2-11	0-4	13-14	5	2	1	0	17
Max Shulga	Guard	37	6-14	2-7	2-2	8	3	3	0	16
Phillip Russell	Guard	24	4-10	2-6	0-0	0	2	2	0	10
Michael Belle	F	14	4-6	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	8
Joe Bamisile	Guard	25	3-12	1-7	0-0	5	1	1	0	7
Jack Clark	Forward	26	2-4	1-2	0-0	6	1	3	0	5
Christian Fermin	F	24	2-8	0-1	1-1	7	2	0	2	5
Luke Bamgboye	F	14	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	1	5
Brandon Jennings	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Dayton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Santos	Forward	37	5-12	2-3	6-7	7	1	1	0	18
Javon Bennett	G	36	4-12	2-7	6-6	1	2	5	0	16
Posh Alexander	Guard	25	2-6	2-4	2-2	4	1	0	0	8
Zed Key	Forward	23	2-3	0-0	4-4	6	0	1	2	8
Enoch Cheeks	Guard	33	1-6	0-3	5-6	5	4	0	1	7
Amaël L'Etang	F	17	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	1	4
Malachi Smith	G	17	1-2	1-1	0-0	2	4	1	0	3
Jacob Conner	F	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jaiun Simon	F	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

105.0Offensive Efficiency97.8

97.8Defensive Efficiency105.0

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

40.6%Effective FG%44.1%

46.8%True Shooting %54.1%

20.3%Turnover Rate27.2%

27.5%Free Throw Rate49.0%

40.6%3-Point Rate37.3%

0.93Assist / Turnover0.74

Game Summary

VCU won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.