Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

82.7%Utah State

17.3%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -478

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 80

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreFresno State 71

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricFresno State

65.7MMH Power Index47.1

119.7Offensive Efficiency104.9

103.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

16.6Net Efficiency0.0

3.5Strength of Schedule1.5

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

68.6Tempo69.4

56.9%Effective FG%51.3%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate35.5%

11.4Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY82.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–47.1), offensive efficiency (119.7–104.9), defensive efficiency (103.1–104.9), net efficiency (16.6–0.0).

Final

Utah State

89—81

Fresno State

Utah State by 8 • 68.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATFresno State

37-60FG26-55

62.0%FG%47.0%

5-163PT9-23

31.0%3PT%39.0%

10-20FT20-28

50.0%FT%71.0%

38Rebounds25

16Offensive Rebounds12

22Assists11

14Turnovers14

11Steals12

6Blocks4

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ian Martinez	Guard	35	10-14	3-6	7-7	8	3	1	2	30
Mason Falslev	G	37	7-14	1-3	1-6	6	6	2	0	16
Drake Allen	G	27	5-7	0-1	0-2	2	7	3	1	10
Deyton Albury	G	11	3-4	0-0	1-2	1	0	2	0	7
Karson Templin	F	18	3-6	0-1	0-0	6	1	1	0	6
Aubin Gateretse	Center	14	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	2	6
Isaac Johnson	C	8	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Dexter Akanno	Guard	26	2-4	0-1	1-2	5	3	0	0	5
Tucker Anderson	F	21	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Jordy Barnes	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Weaver	Guard	38	6-13	3-8	5-6	6	3	4	1	20
Alex Crawford	F	35	5-8	3-4	2-2	4	1	1	1	15
Elijah Price	F	31	2-5	0-0	9-12	4	1	3	2	13
Zaon Collins	G	33	5-13	0-3	2-3	4	4	1	0	12
Jasir Tremble	Guard	18	3-8	1-5	2-3	0	1	2	0	9
Brian Amuneke	G	27	3-5	2-3	0-2	0	1	1	0	8
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Mor Seck	C	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.9Possessions68.9

129.2Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency129.2

11.6Net Efficiency-11.6

65.8%Effective FG%55.5%

64.0%True Shooting %59.3%

20.7%Turnover Rate19.9%

33.3%Free Throw Rate50.9%

26.7%3-Point Rate41.8%

1.57Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

Utah State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 68.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.