Navy

26-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.3%Navy

19.7%Lafayette

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNavy -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL141.3

MODEL MONEYLINENavy -408

Lafayette

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNavy 75

Projected Total141.3

Projected ScoreLafayette 66

Team Comparison

NavyMetricLafayette

56.8MMH Power Index39.6

113.2Offensive Efficiency102.9

97.6Defensive Efficiency110.3

15.6Net Efficiency-7.4

-8.1Strength of Schedule-1.4

16.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.4

65.9Tempo67.5

53.7%Effective FG%49.4%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

33.2%Offensive Rebound %25.7%

40.9%Free Throw Rate33.0%

10.3Average Margin-5.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Navy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNavy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.8–39.6), offensive efficiency (113.2–102.9), defensive efficiency (97.6–110.3), net efficiency (15.6–-7.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.4–-8.1), ball security (15.4–17.1).

Final

Navy

51—61

Lafayette

Lafayette by 10 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NavyTEAM STATLafayette

19-64FG24-51

30.0%FG%47.0%

5-223PT6-23

23.0%3PT%26.0%

8-9FT7-10

89.0%FT%70.0%

33Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds6

9Assists12

11Turnovers17

6Steals2

3Blocks4

16Fouls12

Player Box Score

Navy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Austin Benigni	G	35	7-19	0-3	5-5	5	3	0	0	19
Jordan Pennick	G	30	5-16	1-8	3-4	5	2	1	0	14
Aidan Kehoe	C	33	3-10	0-0	0-0	9	1	1	3	6
Jinwoo Kim	G	29	2-4	2-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	6
Lysander Rehnstrom	Guard	12	2-5	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Donovan Draper	F	24	0-4	0-1	0-0	7	1	2	0	0
Mike Woods	F	20	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	0	2	0	0
Carnegie Johnson	Guard	13	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Mitch Fischer	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Caleb Williams	G	36	7-13	3-7	0-0	3	2	1	0	17
Justin Vander Baan	C	36	7-15	0-3	1-2	13	3	0	4	15
Alex Chaikin	G	33	5-10	2-7	2-3	1	1	0	0	14
Mark Butler	G	37	2-4	0-0	4-5	6	2	0	0	8
Folabomi Fayemi	G	5	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Andrew Phillips	G	26	1-3	0-1	0-0	8	2	0	0	2
TJ Berger	G	6	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ryan Pettit	G	21	0-2	0-2	0-0	5	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

75.4Offensive Efficiency90.2

90.2Defensive Efficiency75.4

-14.8Net Efficiency14.8

33.6%Effective FG%52.9%

37.3%True Shooting %54.7%

16.1%Turnover Rate25.5%

14.1%Free Throw Rate19.6%

34.4%3-Point Rate45.1%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Lafayette won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.