Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%Southern Miss

39.0%Ball State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouthern Miss -1.6

PROJECTED TOTAL143.0

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Miss -156

Ball State

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 72

Projected Total143.0

Projected ScoreBall State 71

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricBall State

49.9MMH Power Index41.3

106.1Offensive Efficiency101.7

104.9Defensive Efficiency104.7

1.2Net Efficiency-3.0

-0.2Strength of Schedule-3.9

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.9

70.4Tempo66.4

49.9%Effective FG%48.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate16.0%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %26.5%

43.9%Free Throw Rate33.0%

0.9Average Margin-2.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Miss HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Miss holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–41.3), offensive efficiency (106.1–101.7), net efficiency (1.2–-3.0), strength of schedule (-0.2–-3.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–104.9), ball security (16.0–18.4).

Final

Southern Miss

76—77

Ball State

Ball State by 1 • 70.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATBall State

27-55FG29-65

49.0%FG%45.0%

7-203PT8-21

35.0%3PT%38.0%

15-23FT11-15

65.0%FT%73.0%

31Rebounds40

6Offensive Rebounds14

25Assists17

11Turnovers11

9Steals7

5Blocks1

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Denijay Harris	Forward	39	10-17	0-1	3-3	13	2	1	2	23
DeAntoni Gordon	Forward	25	7-11	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	14
Christian Watson	G	31	4-8	1-4	4-7	3	2	1	0	13
Cobie Montgomery	Guard	13	3-5	3-4	1-3	2	1	0	1	10
Alfred Worrell Jr.	G	15	2-5	2-3	3-3	1	1	1	1	9
Neftali Alvarez	Guard	28	1-3	1-3	2-2	0	3	0	0	5
John Wade III	Guard	12	0-2	0-2	2-4	1	2	1	0	2
Andre Curbelo	Guard	31	0-4	0-1	0-1	5	12	4	1	0
Christian Reid	Guard	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mickey Pearson Jr.	Forward	25	7-12	3-6	4-4	5	1	1	0	21
Payton Sparks	Center	30	4-8	0-0	5-5	12	4	2	1	13
Ethan Brittain-Watts	Guard	35	4-9	2-4	0-1	2	4	1	0	10
Juanse Gorosito	G	22	3-8	2-5	0-0	2	1	1	0	8
Ben Hendriks	Center	10	4-5	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Jeremiah Hernandez	Guard	23	3-8	0-2	0-0	4	2	1	0	6
Fatt Hill	G	25	2-8	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	4
Joey Hart	G	11	1-4	1-3	1-2	2	2	0	0	4
Mason Jones	F	15	1-1	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	3
TJ Burch	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.0Possessions70.0

108.6Offensive Efficiency110.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency108.6

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

55.5%Effective FG%50.8%

57.6%True Shooting %53.4%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.9%

41.8%Free Throw Rate23.1%

36.4%3-Point Rate32.3%

2.27Assist / Turnover1.55

Game Summary

Ball State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.