Louisiana

11-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.1%Louisiana

36.9%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisiana -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL140.5

MODEL MONEYLINELouisiana -171

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana 71

Projected Total140.5

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Team Comparison

LouisianaMetricNorthern Illinois

38.6MMH Power Index29.2

99.3Offensive Efficiency99.7

110.2Defensive Efficiency111.6

-10.9Net Efficiency-11.9

1.5Strength of Schedule-2.1

-9.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

64.1Tempo69.7

47.1%Effective FG%48.5%

16.8%Turnover Rate21.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

29.5%Free Throw Rate39.6%

-7.0Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisiana HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisiana holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.6–29.2), defensive efficiency (110.2–111.6), net efficiency (-10.9–-11.9), strength of schedule (1.5–-2.1).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (99.7–99.3), shooting efficiency (48.5–47.1), offensive rebounding (31.7–28.2).

Final

Louisiana

66—64

Northern Illinois

Louisiana by 2 • 71.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisianaTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

26-60FG18-51

43.0%FG%35.0%

8-243PT8-25

33.0%3PT%32.0%

6-13FT20-25

46.0%FT%80.0%

38Rebounds37

7Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists9

11Turnovers14

8Steals6

3Blocks3

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kentrell Garnett	Guard	38	5-12	2-8	0-0	3	3	1	0	12
Brandon Hardy	G	22	4-9	1-3	0-1	3	0	2	0	9
Christian Wright	Guard	29	2-4	1-1	3-4	4	2	2	0	8
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	21	4-10	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	8
London Fields	G	17	3-9	1-5	0-0	3	0	1	0	7
Michael Thomas	Guard	21	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	6
Kyran Ratliff	F	18	3-5	0-0	0-0	5	3	1	0	6
Chancellor White	G	10	2-5	1-4	1-1	3	0	0	0	6
Zeke Cook	F	18	0-1	0-0	2-4	6	0	0	0	2
Jeremiah Evans	F	6	1-2	0-0	0-3	2	1	0	2	2

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quaran McPherson	G	37	5-11	2-5	7-8	6	1	1	0	19
James Dent Jr.	G	35	4-9	3-6	3-3	7	2	0	0	14
Quentin Jones	G	35	3-10	1-4	7-7	8	4	2	1	14
Ethan Butler	F	27	2-5	0-0	3-5	6	0	0	2	7
Kailon Nicholls	G	21	2-5	2-4	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Nas Muhammad	G	32	1-8	0-4	0-0	3	2	1	0	2
Jayden Mott	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-2	1	0	1	0	2
Tsvet Sotirov	F	3	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.1Possessions71.1

92.8Offensive Efficiency90.0

90.0Defensive Efficiency92.8

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

50.0%Effective FG%43.1%

49.9%True Shooting %50.9%

15.7%Turnover Rate19.5%

21.7%Free Throw Rate49.0%

40.0%3-Point Rate49.0%

1.27Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Louisiana won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.