Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.3%Georgia State

84.7%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -11.4

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -554

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 70

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreBuffalo 82

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricBuffalo

38.9MMH Power Index49.7

101.3Offensive Efficiency114.9

107.5Defensive Efficiency112.2

-6.2Net Efficiency2.7

-1.7Strength of Schedule0.0

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

69.5Tempo67.9

45.3%Effective FG%56.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate16.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

37.4%Free Throw Rate40.4%

-4.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Buffalo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBuffalo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.7–38.9), offensive efficiency (114.9–101.3), net efficiency (2.7–-6.2), strength of schedule (0.0–-1.7).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.5–112.2), ball security (15.6–16.1), offensive rebounding (28.2–27.6).

Final

Georgia State

80—75

Buffalo

Georgia State by 5 • 80.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATBuffalo

27-60FG24-72

45.0%FG%33.0%

6-213PT5-33

29.0%3PT%15.0%

20-26FT22-28

77.0%FT%79.0%

43Rebounds46

9Offensive Rebounds17

16Assists13

17Turnovers13

9Steals8

2Blocks3

25Fouls22

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Malachi Brown	G	30	6-10	2-4	2-4	7	6	3	0	16
Jelani Hamilton	G	31	4-8	2-6	4-4	3	3	2	0	14
Cesare Edwards	Center	25	5-8	0-2	3-3	2	0	0	1	13
Zarique Nutter	F	25	4-13	0-2	5-6	5	5	0	0	13
Toneari Lane	G	40	3-13	2-7	2-2	4	1	1	0	10
Clash Peters	F	23	3-4	0-0	1-2	10	1	0	0	7
Nick McMullen	Forward	20	2-4	0-0	3-5	10	0	3	0	7
Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	30	3-18	1-12	6-7	5	2	2	0	13
Bryson Wilson	G	17	3-7	1-2	6-7	5	1	1	0	13
Tyson Dunn	G	30	4-17	1-6	2-2	6	5	0	0	11
Omar Migues-Hibeljic	G	14	4-6	1-3	1-2	1	1	1	0	10
Ben Michaels	F	23	4-9	0-2	0-1	10	1	2	1	8
Kavon Bradford	G	10	3-3	1-1	1-1	0	0	0	0	8
Anquan Boldin Jr	G	25	2-4	0-1	3-4	3	1	0	1	7
Tim Oboh	C	9	1-1	0-0	3-4	2	0	0	1	5
Noah Batchelor	G	34	0-6	0-5	0-0	7	1	2	0	0
Frederiks Meinarts	Center	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

80.9Possessions80.9

98.9Offensive Efficiency92.7

92.7Defensive Efficiency98.9

6.2Net Efficiency-6.2

50.0%Effective FG%36.8%

55.3%True Shooting %44.0%

21.2%Turnover Rate16.0%

43.3%Free Throw Rate38.9%

35.0%3-Point Rate45.8%

0.94Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Georgia State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 80.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.