Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.6%Arkansas State

54.4%Kent State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKent State -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL166.9

MODEL MONEYLINEKent State -119

Kent State

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 82

Projected Total166.9

Projected ScoreKent State 85

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricKent State

57.7MMH Power Index54.7

113.1Offensive Efficiency113.9

105.3Defensive Efficiency107.6

7.8Net Efficiency6.3

-1.0Strength of Schedule-0.1

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.1

73.3Tempo74.0

52.7%Effective FG%53.0%

19.4%Turnover Rate17.7%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %35.0%

39.6%Free Throw Rate43.5%

5.8Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–54.7), defensive efficiency (105.3–107.6), net efficiency (7.8–6.3), recent form (15.2–2.1).

Kent State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (113.9–113.1), strength of schedule (-0.1–-1.0), shooting efficiency (53.0–52.7).

Final

Arkansas State

75—76

Kent State

Kent State by 1 • 69.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATKent State

26-66FG22-47

39.0%FG%47.0%

8-303PT7-19

27.0%3PT%37.0%

15-18FT25-28

83.0%FT%89.0%

33Rebounds33

13Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists12

9Turnovers15

9Steals5

2Blocks2

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joseph Pinion	G	34	6-10	1-4	7-7	4	1	1	1	20
Taryn Todd	Guard	36	5-18	3-10	4-4	3	5	5	0	17
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	26	4-7	2-4	1-3	2	4	0	0	11
Izaiyah Nelson	F	24	5-9	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	0	10
Kobe Julien	Forward	38	3-12	1-5	0-0	3	4	3	0	7
Derrian Ford	G	20	1-6	1-6	3-4	5	0	0	0	6
Rashaud Marshall	F	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Justin Johnson	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kent State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Sullinger	Guard	35	9-18	4-7	5-5	0	4	1	0	27
Marquis Barnett	Not Available	25	3-6	1-3	7-7	2	0	2	0	14
Delrecco Gillespie	F	37	5-5	0-0	2-2	9	1	0	1	12
Jamal Sumlin	G	26	1-3	0-0	7-7	4	3	0	0	9
Cian Medley	G	33	2-6	1-4	0-0	6	4	1	0	5
Magnus Entenmann	F	24	1-6	1-4	2-2	3	0	1	1	5
Cli'Ron Hornbeak	Center	15	1-2	0-0	2-5	5	0	0	0	4
Mike Bekelja	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.4Possessions69.4

108.1Offensive Efficiency109.5

109.5Defensive Efficiency108.1

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

45.5%Effective FG%54.3%

50.3%True Shooting %63.0%

12.8%Turnover Rate22.0%

27.3%Free Throw Rate59.6%

45.5%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.67Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Kent State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 69.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.