UCF

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%UCF

67.0%Baylor

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBaylor -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL162.4

MODEL MONEYLINEBaylor -203

Baylor

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUCF 78

Projected Total162.4

Projected ScoreBaylor 84

Team Comparison

UCFMetricBaylor

57.1MMH Power Index58.9

113.3Offensive Efficiency116.7

110.0Defensive Efficiency109.5

3.3Net Efficiency7.2

6.6Strength of Schedule4.0

-3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.2

71.2Tempo69.7

53.0%Effective FG%54.4%

16.0%Turnover Rate16.4%

34.3%Offensive Rebound %37.5%

31.1%Free Throw Rate34.8%

2.4Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Baylor HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBaylor holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.9–57.1), offensive efficiency (116.7–113.3), defensive efficiency (109.5–110.0), net efficiency (7.2–3.3).

UCF COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.6–4.0), ball security (16.0–16.4).

Final

UCF

76—91

Baylor

Baylor by 15 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UCFTEAM STATBaylor

26-59FG32-60

44.0%FG%53.0%

8-203PT8-25

40.0%3PT%32.0%

16-18FT19-22

89.0%FT%86.0%

29Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds11

11Assists20

12Turnovers10

6Steals11

3Blocks—

20Fouls15

Player Box Score

UCF

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keyshawn Hall	F	27	7-11	0-1	5-5	8	2	0	0	19
Moustapha Thiam	C	29	7-10	3-4	1-2	3	0	0	1	18
Darius Johnson	Guard	32	2-7	1-2	7-7	1	5	1	0	12
Jordan Ivy-Curry	Guard	29	4-14	1-7	1-2	1	1	2	0	10
Mikey Williams	G	6	3-4	2-3	0-0	0	0	0	1	8
Dallan Coleman	Guard	24	1-4	1-2	0-0	6	1	1	1	3
Dior Johnson	G	15	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	2
Benny Williams	Forward	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Rokas Jocius	F	9	0-2	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	0	2
Tyler Hendricks	G	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Nils Machowski	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

Baylor

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Norchad Omier	Forward	36	6-10	0-0	6-6	12	2	1	18
VJ Edgecombe	Guard	27	6-11	1-4	4-4	1	5	2	17
Langston Love	G	27	5-9	2-6	4-5	6	2	1	16
Jalen Celestine	G	21	5-7	2-4	0-0	5	2	1	12
Jayden Nunn	Guard	20	4-7	1-4	3-3	0	1	2	12
Jeremy Roach	Guard	26	3-6	1-4	2-4	0	4	1	9
Robert Wright III	G	32	2-9	1-3	0-0	1	4	2	5
Josh Ojianwuna	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	2
Jason Asemota	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0
Davidson Hubbard	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Marino Dubravcic	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0
Omar Adegbola	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

111.6Offensive Efficiency133.6

133.6Defensive Efficiency111.6

-22.0Net Efficiency22.0

50.8%Effective FG%60.0%

56.3%True Shooting %64.6%

18.0%Turnover Rate14.4%

30.5%Free Throw Rate36.7%

33.9%3-Point Rate41.7%

0.92Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Baylor won by 15 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.