Miami

26-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Miami

66.5%Louisville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL158.0

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -199

Louisville

24-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMiami 76

Projected Total158.0

Projected ScoreLouisville 82

Team Comparison

MiamiMetricLouisville

65.5MMH Power Index67.1

117.8Offensive Efficiency118.6

103.0Defensive Efficiency102.2

14.8Net Efficiency16.4

3.6Strength of Schedule6.0

3.6Last 10 Net Efficiency1.4

69.2Tempo71.0

55.5%Effective FG%56.9%

16.2%Turnover Rate16.8%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %32.3%

37.9%Free Throw Rate34.1%

10.3Average Margin11.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–65.5), offensive efficiency (118.6–117.8), defensive efficiency (102.2–103.0), net efficiency (16.4–14.8).

Miami COUNTERS WITHrecent form (3.6–1.4), ball security (16.2–16.8), offensive rebounding (37.3–32.3).

Final

Miami

78—88

Louisville

Louisville by 10 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MiamiTEAM STATLouisville

33-65FG33-67

51.0%FG%49.0%

6-213PT11-31

29.0%3PT%35.0%

6-12FT11-12

50.0%FT%92.0%

33Rebounds39

9Offensive Rebounds11

7Assists20

10Turnovers8

6Steals5

1Blocks2

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Staton-McCray	G	29	8-14	2-6	4-5	5	1	2	0	22
Matthew Cleveland	Guard	33	9-18	2-5	1-3	1	2	0	0	21
Lynn Kidd	Center	32	5-6	0-0	0-0	11	1	0	0	10
Divine Ugochukwu	G	31	5-11	0-3	0-1	6	2	2	0	10
Austin Swartz	G	26	3-4	2-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	8
Paul Djobet	G	10	3-3	0-0	1-3	0	0	1	1	7
Brandon Johnson	Forward	21	0-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Jalil Bethea	G	13	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Kiree Huie	F	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	40	10-16	3-4	4-4	5	10	1	1	27
Reyne Smith	Guard	39	7-19	6-16	6-6	4	5	1	0	26
J'Vonne Hadley	G	39	6-10	0-1	0-0	7	2	2	0	12
Khani Rooths	F	25	4-8	0-3	1-1	6	0	0	1	9
Noah Waterman	Forward	27	3-7	2-6	0-1	5	1	0	0	8
Aboubacar Traore	Forward	16	2-5	0-0	0-0	8	0	1	0	4
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
James Scott	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency124.5

124.5Defensive Efficiency110.3

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

55.4%Effective FG%57.5%

55.2%True Shooting %60.5%

13.9%Turnover Rate11.5%

18.5%Free Throw Rate17.9%

32.3%3-Point Rate46.3%

0.70Assist / Turnover2.50

Game Summary

Louisville won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.