American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

46.5%American University

53.5%Lehigh

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLehigh -1.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.4

MODEL MONEYLINELehigh -115

Lehigh

18-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 73

Projected Total147.4

Projected ScoreLehigh 74

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricLehigh

48.2MMH Power Index44.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency105.1

105.8Defensive Efficiency106.7

4.8Net Efficiency-1.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-1.7

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency3.6

67.5Tempo69.2

52.6%Effective FG%53.3%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.7%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %23.6%

30.1%Free Throw Rate32.5%

3.3Average Margin-1.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY53.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–44.9), offensive efficiency (110.6–105.1), defensive efficiency (105.8–106.7), net efficiency (4.8–-1.6).

Lehigh COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-4.3), recent form (3.6–2.2), shooting efficiency (53.3–52.6).

Final

American University

78—75

Lehigh

American University by 3 • 73.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATLehigh

25-59FG23-54

42.0%FG%43.0%

5-213PT4-23

24.0%3PT%17.0%

23-27FT25-37

85.0%FT%68.0%

38Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists10

11Turnovers11

4Steals7

3Blocks4

31Fouls19

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	28	11-18	0-4	5-7	4	0	0	1	27
Elijah Stephens	Guard	42	7-11	2-4	7-8	5	2	3	0	23
Matt Mayock	F	31	2-10	1-4	4-4	1	0	1	2	9
Colin Smalls	Guard	25	2-7	1-2	4-4	1	1	0	0	9
Lincoln Ball	Guard	34	3-6	1-2	1-2	8	1	0	0	8
Eric Michaels	F	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	2	0	0	2
Wyatt Nausadis	G	27	0-2	0-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	0
Geoff Sprouse	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	0
Julen Iturbe	F	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Adrian Samuels	G	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Lehigh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler Whitney-Sidney	Guard	41	8-13	2-5	1-1	4	1	0	0	19
Joshua Ingram	G	35	2-7	0-2	10-12	6	2	1	2	14
Hank Alvey	F	28	4-5	0-0	4-6	5	0	1	1	12
Cam Gillus	G	41	2-6	1-3	6-12	6	2	3	0	11
Nasir Whitlock	G	31	4-10	0-4	2-3	4	2	1	0	10
Edouard Benoit	F	16	2-6	1-5	2-3	2	1	0	0	7
Ben Knostman	Guard	17	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2
Alfredo Addesa	F	16	0-5	0-3	0-0	5	1	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.7Possessions73.7

105.8Offensive Efficiency101.8

101.8Defensive Efficiency105.8

4.1Net Efficiency-4.1

46.6%Effective FG%46.3%

54.3%True Shooting %52.4%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.8%

45.8%Free Throw Rate68.5%

35.6%3-Point Rate42.6%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.91

Game Summary

American University won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.