Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.2%Saint Francis

70.8%Chicago State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADChicago State -6.1

PROJECTED TOTAL148.4

MODEL MONEYLINEChicago State -242

Chicago State

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 71

Projected Total148.4

Projected ScoreChicago State 77

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricChicago State

32.7MMH Power Index36.1

101.2Offensive Efficiency99.4

114.7Defensive Efficiency114.9

-13.5Net Efficiency-15.5

-2.3Strength of Schedule0.5

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.3

70.6Tempo66.2

49.8%Effective FG%45.6%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.8%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %29.1%

31.2%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-9.5Average Margin-10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Francis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Francis holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (101.2–99.4), defensive efficiency (114.7–114.9), net efficiency (-13.5–-15.5), shooting efficiency (49.8–45.6).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (36.1–32.7), strength of schedule (0.5–-2.3), recent form (-4.3–-10.5).

Final

Saint Francis

81—69

Chicago State

Saint Francis by 12 • 68.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATChicago State

30-55FG25-56

55.0%FG%45.0%

11-213PT7-30

52.0%3PT%23.0%

10-12FT12-14

83.0%FT%86.0%

36Rebounds24

7Offensive Rebounds4

19Assists8

14Turnovers10

6Steals9

1Blocks4

15Fouls16

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jeremy Clayville	G	21	6-8	5-6	0-0	2	2	1	0	17
Valentino Pinedo	F	29	5-8	0-0	4-5	7	2	0	0	14
Daemar Kelly	G	33	5-8	3-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	13
Riley Parker	G	21	4-7	1-3	2-2	1	3	1	0	11
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	33	4-10	2-7	0-1	10	7	1	0	10
Chris Moncrief	G	24	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	3	1	0	6
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	16	2-4	0-0	2-2	2	1	1	0	6
Miles Webb	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	2
Wisler Sanon II	Guard	8	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Victor Payne	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gabe Spinelli	G	38	9-17	2-6	3-3	4	4	1	0	23
Jalen Forrest	G	35	5-12	1-7	6-7	4	2	2	0	17
Quincy Allen	G	35	5-14	1-8	3-4	8	0	2	2	14
Noble Crawford	Forward	33	3-7	2-5	0-0	4	2	1	1	8
CJ Delancy	F	15	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Matthew Robinson	Guard	30	1-4	1-4	0-0	0	0	2	1	3
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Michael Brown	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Joe Spinelli	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.2Possessions68.2

118.8Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency118.8

17.6Net Efficiency-17.6

64.5%Effective FG%50.9%

66.7%True Shooting %55.1%

20.7%Turnover Rate14.6%

21.8%Free Throw Rate25.0%

38.2%3-Point Rate53.6%

1.36Assist / Turnover0.80

Game Summary

Saint Francis won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 68.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.