Robert Morris

22-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.0%Robert Morris

56.0%Northern Kentucky

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorthern Kentucky -3.0

PROJECTED TOTAL158.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Kentucky -127

Northern Kentucky

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRobert Morris 78

Projected Total158.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Kentucky 81

Team Comparison

Robert MorrisMetricNorthern Kentucky

56.3MMH Power Index53.9

114.5Offensive Efficiency114.9

106.6Defensive Efficiency107.1

7.9Net Efficiency7.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule-2.9

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.6

67.6Tempo72.3

55.0%Effective FG%54.5%

18.5%Turnover Rate16.3%

38.4%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

28.3%Free Throw Rate37.1%

5.3Average Margin5.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Robert Morris HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMRobert Morris holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.3–53.9), defensive efficiency (106.6–107.1), net efficiency (7.9–7.8), strength of schedule (-2.4–-2.9).

Northern Kentucky COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–114.5), ball security (16.3–18.5), free throw rate (37.1–28.3).

Final

Robert Morris

81—76

Northern Kentucky

Robert Morris by 5 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Robert MorrisTEAM STATNorthern Kentucky

28-52FG32-61

54.0%FG%52.0%

7-203PT9-16

35.0%3PT%56.0%

18-25FT3-7

72.0%FT%43.0%

30Rebounds23

7Offensive Rebounds8

15Assists18

13Turnovers12

5Steals7

3Blocks1

13Fouls18

Player Box Score

Robert Morris

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alvaro Folgueiras	F	39	12-14	3-4	8-10	10	2	2	1	35
Kam Woods	G	37	6-14	2-4	1-2	3	7	1	0	15
DJ Smith	G	29	3-5	0-2	3-4	3	1	1	0	9
Ryan Prather Jr.	G	24	3-7	2-6	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Josh Omojafo	G	32	1-7	0-4	3-6	6	1	1	0	5
Amarion Dickerson	G	16	1-3	0-0	3-3	1	1	0	1	5
Chris Ford	Forward	5	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Ismael Plet	Forward	18	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	2	0	1	0

Northern Kentucky

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trey Robinson	Guard	31	9-15	0-0	1-5	4	1	3	0	19
Josh Dilling	Guard	30	6-10	5-6	0-0	3	4	1	0	17
Dan Gherezgher	G	35	6-11	2-5	0-0	2	6	1	0	14
Sam Vinson	Guard	30	5-8	2-2	0-0	6	3	0	0	12
Keeyan Itejere	F	34	3-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	1	1	6
Randall Pettus II	G	21	2-7	0-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	4
LJ Wells	F	14	1-6	0-0	2-2	1	1	1	0	4
Hubertas Pivorius	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

117.2Offensive Efficiency110.0

110.0Defensive Efficiency117.2

7.2Net Efficiency-7.2

60.6%Effective FG%59.8%

63.4%True Shooting %59.1%

18.6%Turnover Rate17.6%

48.1%Free Throw Rate11.5%

38.5%3-Point Rate26.2%

1.15Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Robert Morris won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.