Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Little Rock

70.6%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -240

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 71

Projected Total148.7

Projected ScoreMorehead State 78

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricMorehead State

44MMH Power Index47.3

103.0Offensive Efficiency110.8

108.2Defensive Efficiency110.0

-5.2Net Efficiency0.8

0.5Strength of Schedule-4.0

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

68.5Tempo67.9

50.3%Effective FG%51.3%

18.7%Turnover Rate17.3%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

28.6%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-3.6Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–44.0), offensive efficiency (110.8–103.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.2), recent form (3.1–-0.7).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (108.2–110.0), strength of schedule (0.5–-4.0).

Final

Little Rock

76—62

Morehead State

Little Rock by 14 • 63.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATMorehead State

29-54FG20-46

54.0%FG%43.0%

8-163PT6-16

50.0%3PT%38.0%

10-12FT16-20

83.0%FT%80.0%

25Rebounds27

6Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists13

10Turnovers16

12Steals6

4Blocks—

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Lawson	G	37	9-17	4-7	2-2	3	1	3	0	24
Jordan Jefferson	Guard	28	5-8	1-1	3-4	3	2	4	0	14
Isaiah Lewis	G	27	4-10	2-3	3-4	1	3	1	0	13
Ante Beljan	F	36	3-4	0-0	2-2	4	3	0	0	8
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	34	4-6	0-0	0-0	3	5	4	3	8
Mwani Wilkinson	Guard	30	3-8	1-5	0-0	8	1	0	1	7
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kenny White Jr.	Forward	35	7-14	0-2	2-2	3	0	0	16
Tyler Brelsford	Guard	33	2-9	2-5	5-6	5	1	1	11
Jerone Morton	G	31	4-7	2-3	0-0	0	5	2	10
Steven Clay	G	17	2-3	1-2	4-4	2	0	1	9
Khouri Carvey	F	18	2-4	0-0	3-4	4	1	1	7
Kade Ruegsegger	Guard	21	2-3	1-2	0-0	6	3	0	5
Anouar Mellouk	F	24	1-3	0-0	0-2	3	1	0	2
George Marshall	G	12	0-3	0-2	2-2	0	1	1	2
Jalen Breazeale	Guard	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0
Trent Scott	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.6Possessions63.6

119.5Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency119.5

22.0Net Efficiency-22.0

61.1%Effective FG%50.0%

63.7%True Shooting %55.9%

15.7%Turnover Rate25.2%

22.2%Free Throw Rate43.5%

29.6%3-Point Rate34.8%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.81

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 63.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.