Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.5%Providence

58.5%Butler

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADButler -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL168.3

MODEL MONEYLINEButler -141

Butler

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 82

Projected Total168.3

Projected ScoreButler 86

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricButler

54.2MMH Power Index52.7

115.0Offensive Efficiency111.7

113.2Defensive Efficiency109.1

1.8Net Efficiency2.6

4.0Strength of Schedule3.1

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

74.2Tempo71.1

55.0%Effective FG%51.2%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

37.3%Free Throw Rate42.9%

1.3Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Butler HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY58.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMButler holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (109.1–113.2), net efficiency (2.6–1.8), ball security (15.9–16.7), offensive rebounding (34.4–31.8).

Providence COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (54.2–52.7), offensive efficiency (115.0–111.7), strength of schedule (4.0–3.1).

Final

Providence

81—82

Butler

Butler by 1 • 68.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATButler

30-60FG30-60

50.0%FG%50.0%

16-323PT10-19

50.0%3PT%53.0%

5-6FT12-21

83.0%FT%57.0%

24Rebounds34

6Offensive Rebounds12

20Assists16

10Turnovers11

6Steals6

3Blocks1

18Fouls10

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bensley Joseph	Guard	39	10-20	5-9	1-2	1	1	2	1	26
Rich Barron	F	36	8-11	7-9	0-0	2	1	2	0	23
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	34	6-11	1-4	4-4	4	6	0	0	17
Jayden Pierre	G	38	4-10	3-8	0-0	4	8	0	0	11
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	21	2-4	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	4
Ryan Mela	G	15	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	1	1	0
Anton Bonke	C	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	0
Eli DeLaurier	F	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Justyn Fernandez	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Butler

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jahmyl Telfort	Forward	34	9-17	2-4	4-6	5	4	4	0	24
Pierre Brooks II	Forward	34	7-14	2-5	2-2	2	0	0	0	18
Finley Bizjack	G	32	4-7	3-4	4-5	2	2	0	0	15
Patrick McCaffery	Forward	37	4-6	3-4	0-0	3	4	0	0	11
Andre Screen	Center	24	4-9	0-0	1-6	10	1	0	0	9
Boden Kapke	F	16	1-4	0-1	1-2	5	1	0	1	3
Evan Haywood	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Kolby King	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Landon Moore	G	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.0Possessions68.0

119.1Offensive Efficiency120.6

120.6Defensive Efficiency119.1

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

63.3%Effective FG%58.3%

64.4%True Shooting %58.6%

15.0%Turnover Rate15.9%

10.0%Free Throw Rate35.0%

53.3%3-Point Rate31.7%

2.00Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Butler won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 68.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.