Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.7%Penn State

94.3%UCLA

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUCLA -18.8

PROJECTED TOTAL152.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUCLA -1654

UCLA

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 67

Projected Total152.8

Projected ScoreUCLA 86

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricUCLA

42.3MMH Power Index63

109.2Offensive Efficiency115.9

117.6Defensive Efficiency106.9

-8.4Net Efficiency9.0

5.3Strength of Schedule5.1

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency8.0

67.5Tempo66.5

53.4%Effective FG%53.5%

15.6%Turnover Rate13.4%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate33.8%

-5.7Average Margin6.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UCLA HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUCLA holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.0–42.3), offensive efficiency (115.9–109.2), defensive efficiency (106.9–117.6), net efficiency (9.0–-8.4).

Penn State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.3–5.1), free throw rate (34.6–33.8).

Final

Penn State

54—78

UCLA

UCLA by 24 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATUCLA

19-50FG31-66

38.0%FG%47.0%

5-213PT5-19

24.0%3PT%26.0%

11-12FT11-15

92.0%FT%73.0%

34Rebounds34

9Offensive Rebounds12

7Assists21

18Turnovers3

1Steals13

4Blocks4

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zach Hicks	Forward	30	5-8	2-5	2-2	8	0	0	1	14
Ace Baldwin Jr.	Guard	27	3-8	1-3	2-2	3	0	1	0	9
Nick Kern Jr.	Guard	26	3-6	0-1	3-4	5	3	0	1	9
D'Marco Dunn	Guard	28	1-5	1-2	4-4	4	1	0	1	7
Dominick Stewart	G	19	3-8	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	7
Miles Goodman	F	17	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Kachi Nzeh	F	20	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Freddie Dilione V	G	18	1-8	0-3	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Jahvin Carter	G	13	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Hudson Ward	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UCLA

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kobe Johnson	Guard	36	7-12	0-3	1-1	13	6	4	1	15
Skyy Clark	G	25	6-7	2-3	0-0	3	3	0	0	14
Sebastian Mack	G	23	4-9	1-3	5-6	2	1	2	0	14
Tyler Bilodeau	F	20	5-11	0-1	1-2	2	1	1	1	11
Eric Dailey Jr.	G	16	2-6	0-1	3-4	2	2	3	0	7
Dylan Andrews	G	26	2-7	1-4	0-0	3	3	0	0	5
Aday Mara	C	10	2-5	0-0	1-2	3	2	0	1	5
William Kyle III	F	10	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	4
Trent Perry	G	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Lazar Stefanovic	Guard	25	0-4	0-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

83.9Offensive Efficiency121.1

121.1Defensive Efficiency83.9

-37.3Net Efficiency37.3

43.0%Effective FG%50.8%

48.5%True Shooting %53.3%

27.8%Turnover Rate4.7%

24.0%Free Throw Rate22.7%

42.0%3-Point Rate28.8%

0.39Assist / Turnover7.00

Game Summary

UCLA won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.