Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.7%Tarleton State

89.3%Utah Valley

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL149.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -835

Utah Valley

25-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 67

Projected Total149.9

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 82

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricUtah Valley

44.6MMH Power Index59.1

103.2Offensive Efficiency113.4

101.6Defensive Efficiency97.3

1.6Net Efficiency16.1

-2.3Strength of Schedule-3.3

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.8

72.2Tempo70.6

49.0%Effective FG%56.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate19.9%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %36.2%

42.8%Free Throw Rate37.3%

1.1Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–44.6), offensive efficiency (113.4–103.2), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.6), net efficiency (16.1–1.6).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-3.3), free throw rate (42.8–37.3).

Final

Tarleton State

56—81

Utah Valley

Utah Valley by 25 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATUtah Valley

15-47FG25-50

32.0%FG%50.0%

5-133PT9-19

38.0%3PT%47.0%

21-27FT22-32

78.0%FT%69.0%

32Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds9

7Assists23

17Turnovers10

7Steals12

7Blocks5

23Fouls18

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bubu Benjamin	G	34	3-14	2-5	10-13	3	2	0	0	18
Chris Mpaka	F	23	3-8	0-0	6-8	8	0	2	5	12
Izzy Miles	G	34	3-9	0-1	5-6	4	2	3	0	11
Nick Krass	G	22	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	0	4
Karim Elgizawy	Guard	32	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Keitenn Bristow	F	12	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	2	3
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	10	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Joseph Martinez	G	30	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	2
Roy Marom	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tanner Toolson	G	29	6-10	5-8	7-8	1	0	3	1	24
Carter Welling	F	20	4-9	1-2	4-6	4	2	1	0	13
Dominick Nelson	G	29	3-7	0-2	5-6	8	3	0	1	11
Jackson Holcombe	G	19	4-6	0-0	1-4	4	2	2	0	9
Ethan Potter	F	19	3-4	0-0	1-2	4	1	0	1	7
Kylin Green	G	21	2-3	2-2	0-0	3	7	2	0	6
Cory Wells	F	11	0-2	0-1	3-4	3	1	0	0	3
Noah Taitz	G	11	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
Trevan Leonhardt	G	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	6	3	0	2
Majer Sullivan	Center	1	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Hayden Welling	F	21	0-5	0-2	1-2	2	1	1	2	1

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

84.2Offensive Efficiency121.8

121.8Defensive Efficiency84.2

-37.6Net Efficiency37.6

37.2%Effective FG%59.0%

46.8%True Shooting %62.1%

25.4%Turnover Rate15.1%

57.4%Free Throw Rate64.0%

27.7%3-Point Rate38.0%

0.41Assist / Turnover2.30

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.