Western Carolina

15-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

54.8%Western Carolina

45.2%UNC Greensboro

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWestern Carolina -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL161.3

MODEL MONEYLINEWestern Carolina -121

UNC Greensboro

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Carolina 81

Projected Total161.3

Projected ScoreUNC Greensboro 80

Team Comparison

Western CarolinaMetricUNC Greensboro

53MMH Power Index46.7

112.6Offensive Efficiency112.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency115.3

1.6Net Efficiency-2.7

-0.9Strength of Schedule-1.9

13.1Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

69.7Tempo69.8

51.1%Effective FG%52.8%

16.4%Turnover Rate14.6%

36.1%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

30.8%Free Throw Rate41.7%

1.1Average Margin-1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Western Carolina HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWestern Carolina holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.0–46.7), defensive efficiency (111.0–115.3), net efficiency (1.6–-2.7), strength of schedule (-0.9–-1.9).

UNC Greensboro COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.8–51.1), ball security (14.6–16.4), free throw rate (41.7–30.8).

Final

Western Carolina

70—74

UNC Greensboro

UNC Greensboro by 4 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western CarolinaTEAM STATUNC Greensboro

23-62FG26-59

37.0%FG%44.0%

12-323PT7-24

38.0%3PT%29.0%

12-13FT15-20

92.0%FT%75.0%

37Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists11

7Turnovers7

1Steals5

3Blocks4

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Western Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bernard Pelote	Forward	32	6-16	3-10	2-2	5	0	0	0	17
Marcus Kell	F	29	4-10	2-4	6-6	11	1	1	0	16
Chevalier Emery	G	25	5-12	4-8	1-1	3	1	0	0	15
Cord Stansberry	G	28	5-10	1-4	2-2	2	1	0	0	13
Brandon Morgan	G	24	1-6	1-4	0-0	1	5	0	0	3
Vernon Collins	F	21	1-2	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	1	3
Fischer Brown	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	2	3
Chase McKey	F	16	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
CJ Hyland	G	13	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

UNC Greensboro

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ronald Polite III	Guard	31	7-15	1-2	3-4	3	3	1	0	18
Donovan Atwell	G	35	5-14	1-7	1-1	5	1	0	0	12
Demetrius Davis	Forward	23	3-10	2-7	2-2	4	1	0	1	10
Joryam Saizonou	Guard	29	2-6	1-3	3-4	3	2	1	0	8
Jalen Breath	F	24	4-5	0-0	0-1	11	2	0	0	8
Akrum Ahemed	Guard	19	3-5	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	8
Malik Henry	Forward	16	1-1	0-0	4-6	6	0	1	3	6
Miles Jones	Forward	18	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	2	1	0	4
Mason So	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

104.6Offensive Efficiency110.6

110.6Defensive Efficiency104.6

-6.0Net Efficiency6.0

46.8%Effective FG%50.0%

51.3%True Shooting %54.0%

10.4%Turnover Rate10.5%

21.0%Free Throw Rate33.9%

51.6%3-Point Rate40.7%

1.71Assist / Turnover1.57

Game Summary

UNC Greensboro won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.